Ravenna vs Campobasso FC Prediction

Ravenna's home record is the kind of thing that makes a pricing desk pause. Fourteen wins from twenty home games, 2.35 points per game, 1.55 goals scored per game and just 0.45 conceded. Twelve of those twenty home fixtures ended in a clean sheet. That is not a side that gets rattled on their own ground.

Stack their last five matches on top and the picture sharpens: four wins and one loss, 9 goals scored, 2 conceded, four clean sheets. The only blemish is the 1-2 defeat at Pianese on 4 October, but before that they were winning 2-0 and 3-0 at home and 2-0 and 1-0 on the road. The current run is a single loss, not a slide. The numbers say Ravenna at home is a team that scores and keeps it tight.

Campobasso FC travel with a 9W 4D 7L record across their last 20 away games. That's 1.55 points per game, 1.15 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their last five matches have been winless-free — two wins and three draws — but they've conceded 6 in those 5 games and managed only one clean sheet. The 2-2 draws against Pineto at home and Grosseto away, and the 1-1 draw at home against Torres, show a side that keeps games open but doesn't close them out. On the road, they leak.

The head-to-head is a 1-1 split over two meetings, both within the last 13 months. The recent one, on 4 January at Campobasso FC's ground, went 2-1 to the hosts. The older meeting at Ravenna's ground, 23 August 2025, was a 3-2 Ravenna win. Both games saw both teams score and both went over 2.5. That's a small sample and the older meeting is historical, so I'd lean on the venue records rather than those two results.

The counter-argument is real: Campobasso FC haven't dropped a point in their last five, and they've scored in all five. Ravenna's last game was a loss. And the only meeting at this specific ground was 13 months ago. But the weight of the evidence — Ravenna's 70% home win rate, their 80% recent win rate, and Campobasso FC's 45% away win rate — points firmly one way. The market has Ravenna at 59.88%, and I think the numbers say the true figure sits a touch higher than that.

Key Points:

• Ravenna: 14W 5D 1L in 20 home games; 4W 1L in last 5 with 9 goals scored and 2 conceded

• Campobasso FC: 9W 4D 7L in 20 away games; 2W 3D 0L in last 5 but 6 conceded

• Head-to-head: 1-1 split over 2 meetings, both BTTS and over 2.5

• Ravenna's clean sheet rate at home (12/20) outpaces Campobasso FC's away clean sheet rate (7/20)

• Market prices Ravenna at 59.88% — the venue and form numbers suggest the true figure is higher

I'm backing the Ravenna home win at 1.67.