Ravenna vs Campobasso FC Prediction

Right, so we've got Ravenna hosting Campobasso FC on 11 October in Serie C Girone B, and if you've got a calculator handy, the numbers are singing a pretty clear tune.

Ravenna at home are the business. Over their last 20 home games, they've won 14, drawn 5 and lost just 1. That's 2.35 points per game, 1.55 goals scored per game and only 0.45 conceded. Twelve of those 20 home games ended in a clean sheet. In their last five matches across all grounds, they've won four and lost one, scoring 9 and conceding just 2. The only blemish was that 1-2 slip at Pianese on 4 October, but before that they were rattling out 2-0 at home to Gubbio, 2-0 at Atalanta II, 1-0 at Ostia Mare and 3-0 at home to Perugia. Sharp stuff.

Now look at Campobasso FC on the road. Their last 20 away games read 9 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses. That's 1.55 points per game, 1.15 scored and 1.2 conceded. They've only kept a clean sheet in 7 of those 20. In their last five, they've won two and drawn three without a loss, but the draws are doing a lot of the talking — 1-1 at home to Torres, 2-2 at home to Pineto, 2-2 at Grosseto. They're not losing, but they're not winning loads either, and they've conceded in 4 of those 5.

The head-to-head is thin. The only meeting within the last 12 months was back in January at Campobasso's ground, where they edged it 2-1. The older meeting at Ravenna's ground in August 2025 went 3-2 to the hosts, but that's historical record and doesn't really tell you what's happening now. Both meetings saw both teams score and went over 2.5, which is worth a nod.

The counter-argument is that Campobasso FC haven't dropped a point in their last five. Three draws and two wins, no defeats. And that January meeting at their ground went their way. They're not a team that folds, and they've scored in every one of their last five. If you're looking for a reason to doubt the home side, that's your best one.

But here's the thing: Ravenna's home record is genuinely special. Fourteen wins from twenty is not a coincidence. Their recent form is sharp, and Campobasso FC's away numbers simply don't match up. The market is pricing Ravenna at 1.67, which implies about 60% chance. My gut says the home side are better than that — I'd put them at around 65%. That's a small but real edge.

Key Points:

• Ravenna: 14W 5D 1L in 20 home games, 12 clean sheets, 0.45 conceded per game

• Ravenna last 5: 4W 1L, 9 scored, 2 conceded

• Campobasso FC away: 9W 4D 7L in 20 games, 1.2 conceded per game

• Campobasso FC last 5: 2W 3D 0L, but 3 of those 5 were draws

• H2H: 1 recent meeting (Campobasso 2-1 at home), 1 older meeting (Ravenna 3-2 at home)

Verdict: I'm going with the Ravenna home win at 1.67.