RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

Leipzig's Fortress vs Frankfurt's Travels

Preview

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai starter! Leipzig are cooking with gas at home, boet! They've been absolutely dominant on their own patch - 100% win rate in their last 4 home games, scoring 2.5 goals per game while keeping things tight at the back with only 0.75 conceded. That's what I call proper home cooking!

Frankfurt have been drawing for Africa on their travels lately - 75% draws in their last 4 away games. They can score though, averaging 1.75 goals away from home, but they also let in 1.50 per game. Their recent form shows they're not pushovers, but they're not exactly setting the world alight either.

Looking at the recent results, Leipzig smashed Augsburg 6-0 away and put 3 past Magdeburg in the cup. Their only slip-up recently was that 3-1 loss to Hoffenheim, but they bounced back nicely. Frankfurt have been drawing more than my uncle after a few beers - 1-1 with Wolfsburg, 1-1 with Heidenheim, and that 2-2 with Freiburg.

The head-to-head is interesting - Leipzig have won 4 out of 6 at home against Frankfurt, and the last meeting was a 4-0 hammering. Seven of the nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, which tells me these teams like to attack when they face each other.

Leipzig are averaging 16.5 shots per game compared to Frankfurt's 10.9, and they're more accurate too - 42.5% vs 37.6%. They also have better possession and create more chances. Frankfurt's away record shows they can be stubborn opponents, but Leipzig's home form is just too good to ignore.

With Leipzig scoring 2.3 goals per game overall and Frankfurt conceding 1.6, plus Frankfurt scoring 1.3 per game and Leipzig conceding only 0.8, this has all the makings of a home win with goals. Both teams have scored in 60% of their recent games, so BTTS looks solid too.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.75
+EV
+13.8%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN