Real Sociedad vs Sevilla Prediction

Sevilla To Sink Struggling Sociedad

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Real Sociedad are in a right old mess, aren't they? Sitting 18th in the table with just 6 points from 9 games - that's relegation form, that is. They've only managed one win all season and are scoring less than a goal per game (0.90 to be exact). Their recent results tell the story: a draw against Celta (1-1), but losses to Rayo (0-1), Barcelona (1-2), and Real Betis (1-3). Only one win in their last ten matches says it all really.

Now Sevilla, on the other hand, are sitting pretty in 9th place with 13 points. Much better form with 4 wins in their last 10, including that absolute cracker of a 4-1 win over Barcelona. They're scoring 1.7 goals per game and have a solid away record - winning 60% of their away matches. That's the sort of form that gets you results.

The head-to-head is pretty even overall, but when you dig into the current form, there's only one winner here. Sociedad's home record is dreadful (25% win rate), while Sevilla's away form is solid (60% win rate). The bookies have Sociedad as slight favorites at 2.05, but that looks like they're giving too much credit to home advantage if you ask me.

Both teams tend to score - Sociedad have seen both teams score in 70% of their games, Sevilla in 80%. But when one side is scoring nearly double what the other is (1.7 vs 0.9), you know which way the wind's blowing.

Sevilla's away form speaks for itself - they're averaging 1.6 goals per game on the road and only conceding 1.0. Sociedad are averaging just 1.0 goals at home while letting in 1.25. The numbers don't lie, do they?

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
3.70
+EV
+48.0%
Estimated Chance40%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN