Reggiana vs Virtus Entella Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B scrap between Reggiana and Virtus Entella. Both sides are knocking around mid-table, but there's a world of difference between how they play at home versus away.

Reggiana have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde side lately. One minute they're banging in a 1-0 win over league leaders Modena at home, the next they're shipping four goals in a 4-3 loss to Avellino. But here's the thing - at their own gaff, they're proper decent. Sixty percent win rate at home, averaging two goals per game, and only letting in one. That's the sort of form that gets you results in this division.

Virtus Entella, on the other hand, are absolutely shocking on their travels. Zero wins in five away games, and get this - they're only managing 0.4 goals per game away from home. That's not just bad, that's virtually non-existent. They're shipping 2.2 goals per game on the road too, which is about as welcoming as a open goal for the opposition.

When these two have met before, Reggiana have had the number of Entella. Four wins out of six meetings, with four clean sheets thrown in for good measure. Only one of those six games saw both teams score, which tells you everything you need to know about how these matches usually pan out.

The stats don't lie here. Reggiana at home score for fun, while Entella away couldn't hit a barn door with a banjo. With Reggiana averaging two goals at home and Entella barely managing to get a shot on target away from home, you can see where this is heading.

The bookies have got Reggiana as slight underdogs at 2.88, which seems a bit generous given the home advantage and Entella's travel sickness. But the real value might be in the both teams to score market - specifically, both teams NOT to score.