Reims vs Dijon Prediction

Dijon arrive at Reims' ground in strong recent form. Their last five matches have produced three wins and two draws with no defeats, and they've scored 12 goals in that span — 2.4 per game. The 4–2 win over Metz on 12 October was the latest evidence, with Dijon scoring four and keeping their scoring streak alive. Their away record over the last 20 games tells a similar story: 11 wins, 8 draws and just 1 loss, at 2.05 points per game, with 1.5 goals scored per outing and only 0.8 conceded. They've scored in all five of their recent matches and been over 2.5 goals in four of those five.

Reims, by contrast, have been stuck in a pattern of draws. Their last five matches yielded just one win (2–1 at Nancy on 11 September), three draws and a 0–3 loss to Anderlecht in a friendly on 2 October. They've scored only 5 goals in that stretch and conceded 7, and their most recent game was a 0–0 draw at Nantes on 10 October. At home over 20 games, Reims are solid — 10 wins, 8 draws, 2 losses, 1.9 points per game, 1.95 goals scored per game — but the recent output of 1.0 goals scored per game and 1.4 conceded is not matching that baseline.

The head-to-head between these two sides is entirely historical. The five most recent meetings all date back at least five years, spanning 2018 to 2021, and the full aggregate of six meetings shows 1 win for Reims, 3 draws and 2 wins for Dijon. With no meetings within the last 12 months, this record offers no real guide to the current matchup, and I'd lean on the current form and venue records instead.

The case for Dijon is clear on form: they've scored in all five of their last five games, their away record shows only one defeat in 20 games, and their recent scoring rate of 2.4 per game is well above their away average of 1.5. Reims' home record is respectable, but their recent output suggests they are not at their best. The market prices Dijon at 19.23% (decimal odds 5.2), which I believe underestimates the impact of their current run. My own reading of the evidence puts Dijon's chance of winning closer to 22%, which sits above the market's implied figure.

Key Points:

• Dijon: 3W 2D 0L in last 5, 2.4 goals scored per game, scored in all 5

• Dijon away: 11W 8D 1L in 20 games, 2.05 ppg, 0.8 conceded per game

• Reims: 1W 3D 1L in last 5, 1.0 goals scored per game, 2/5 failed to score

• Head-to-head is entirely historical (5+ years old), no meetings in the last 12 months

• Reims home: 10W 8D 2L in 20, 1.9 ppg, 1.95 scored per game

Verdict: I'm backing the Dijon away win at 5.2.