Rochdale vs Yeovil Town Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Rochdale are sitting pretty at the top of the National League, and it's not hard to see why. Ten wins from twelve games, scoring for fun and keeping it tight at the back. They've been banging in 1.8 goals per game while only letting in 0.8 - that's proper top-of-the-table stuff.

But here's the thing, they've had a couple of wobbles at home recently. Lost 1-2 to York in the FA Cup and 1-2 to FC Halifax in the league. Still, when they're on it, they're absolutely ruthless - just look at that 4-1 hammering of Solihull Moors.

Now for Yeovil. Oh dear. They're struggling a bit, aren't they? Eleventh in the table with more losses than wins, and their recent form reads like a horror story: four wins and six losses in their last ten. They can't score consistently (only 1.2 goals per game) and they leak goals at the back (1.7 conceded per game). Away from home, they've been shipping 1.4 goals per game.

The head-to-head tells its own story though. Rochdale have absolutely dominated this fixture - four wins out of five meetings, including a 4-0 thumping last time they met. Dale have won both home games against Yeovil, scoring plenty and keeping it tight.

Looking at the stats, this screams 'under 2.5 goals' to me. Rochdale's defence is solid as a rock (50% clean sheets), and Yeovil struggle to score on their travels. Plus, both teams have seen both teams score in exactly 50% of their recent games - that coin toss nature suggests we might not see a goal fest.

The odds of 2.08 for under 2.5 goals look tasty to me. Given Rochdale's defensive record and Yeovil's scoring struggles, I reckon there's decent value here.