Roda vs Dordrecht Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Eerste Divisie clash between Roda and Dordrecht. The lads from Kerkrade are sitting pretty in 4th place with 27 points, while Dordrecht are languishing down in 11th on 21 points. And if you ask me, there's a reason for that gap in the table.

Roda have been absolutely banging in the goals lately, netting 22 in their last 10 games - that's 2.2 per game, proper attacking stuff. They've only lost once in that run too, picking up 19 points from a possible 30. At home, they're even more lethal, scoring 2.5 goals per game while keeping it tight at the back with just 0.5 conceded. They've had some proper hammerings too - remember that 6-0 thumping of Den Bosch? Or the 5-1 cup win over Capelle? Quality stuff.

Dordrecht, on the other hand, are struggling to find the back of the net. Just 9 goals in 10 games is nowhere near good enough, and away from home it's even worse - only 0.8 goals per game while shipping 2.6. They did manage a 1-1 draw with Vitesse in their last game, but before that they were getting absolutely pasted 7-0 by Willem II in the cup. Ouch.

When these two have met before, it's been all Roda. Six wins to three for Dordrecht, and no draws in nine meetings. At home, Roda have won three out of four against them. The last time they played, Roda won 2-1, and before that it was 1-0 and 4-1. The pattern's pretty clear, ain't it?

The stats back it up too - Roda are better in pretty much every department. More shots on target, better possession, higher pass accuracy. They just look like a better team all round.

Look, Dordrecht might make a game of it for a bit, but Roda at home with their form and that head-to-head record? It's got home win written all over it for me. The odds of 2.14 look decent value for what should be a comfortable three points for the home side.