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Rodez's home record is the strongest argument in this fixture. Over 20 home games spanning 11 months, the hosts have won 12, drawn 5 and lost 3, averaging 2.05 points per game. They score 1.9 goals per game at home and concede 1.3. Dunkerque's away record over 20 games tells a different story: 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses for 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.85 and conceding 1.7. The contrast between Rodez's home output and Dunkerque's away vulnerability is the central narrative.
The head-to-head, though, muddies the picture. The two most recent meetings, within the last 12 months, both ended 1-1. At Rodez's ground in November 2025, the visitors held the hosts to a draw; at Dunkerque's ground in April 2026, the same scoreline appeared. Older meetings — a 5-1 Rodez win at home in March 2025 and a 1-0 Dunkerque win at home in August 2024 — are historical record and carry less weight than the recent 1-1 pattern.
Both teams arrive with mixed recent form. Rodez won 2-1 at Dijon on 24 October but lost 0-3 at home to Montpellier on 19 October and 0-2 away to Saint Etienne on 10 October. Their last five games (including a 2-0 friendly win over Inter Club d'Escaldes on 3 October): 2 wins, 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Dunkerque drew 1-1 at home with Metz on 23 October — with a red card in the 61st minute — and won 3-2 at Nantes on 17 October, but lost 0-1 at home to Annecy on 9 October and 0-2 away to PAU on 18 September. Their last five (including a 0-4 friendly loss to RAAL La Louvière on 2 October): 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 10.
The xG data from the last three competitive games for each side adds context. Rodez's xG against stands at 1.63 per game, suggesting they have been unlucky in conceding more than expected. Dunkerque's xG against is 1.27 per game, hinting their defensive record is somewhat better than the results show.
Key Points:
- Rodez's 20-game home record: 12W 5D 3L, 2.05 PPG, 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game
- Dunkerque's 20-game away record: 7W 4D 9L, 1.25 PPG, 1.85 scored and 1.7 conceded per game
- Both recent head-to-head meetings (within 12 months) ended 1-1
- Rodez's last 5: 2W 3L; Dunkerque's last 5: 1W 1D 3L
- Rodez's xG against (1.63 per game) points to underlying defensive vulnerability
The home record strongly favours Rodez, but the two recent 1-1 draws and both teams' inconsistent recent form make this a fixture where certainty is hard to pin down. No bet.
