Rosenborg vs Sandefjord Prediction

Rosenborg enter this Eliteserien meeting in outstanding form, having won their last five matches while scoring 18 goals and conceding just 5. The run stretches back to 5 September, when they beat Ham-Kam 4–0 at home, and includes a 5–3 home win over Tromsø on 12 September, a 4–1 away victory at Fløya in the NM Cupen on 16 September, a 3–1 away win at Kristiansund BK on 19 September, and a 2–0 home win over Ostersunds FK in a friendly on 3 October. Across their last 10 matches, Rosenborg have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2, averaging 3.5 goals per game.

At home, the numbers are equally strong. Over 20 home games from 30 November 2025 to 3 October 2026, Rosenborg have recorded 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, averaging 1.95 points per game. They have kept 8 clean sheets in those 20 matches, scoring 40 goals at 2 per game while conceding 22 at 1.1 per game.

The head-to-head record tells a clear story. Across 19 meetings spanning 9 years, Rosenborg have won 12, drawn 5 and lost 2, scoring 35 goals at 1.84 per game and conceding 14 at 0.74 per game. In the two most recent meetings within the last 12 months, the scores were 0–0 at Sandefjord's ground on 18 April 2026 and 1–1 at Rosenborg's ground on 29 October 2025.

Sandefjord's away record is the main reason to pause. Over 20 away games spanning 12 months, they have won 9, drawn 2 and lost 9, averaging 1.45 points per game. They have scored 47 goals at 2.35 per game but conceded 34 at 1.7 per game, keeping only 3 clean sheets. Their last 10 matches across all venues show 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 2.4 goals scored per game.

The best counter-argument to a Rosenborg win is the recent head-to-head pattern. Both of the last two meetings ended in draws, and Sandefjord have won their last two matches, including a 3–0 home win over Start on 20 September (with Start receiving a red card in the 56th minute) and a 1–0 away win at Flint in the NM Cupen on 30 September. Sandefjord's away scoring rate of 2.35 per game is also higher than Rosenborg's home scoring rate of 2 per game, suggesting they are capable of finding the net on the road.

However, the weight of evidence points firmly to Rosenborg. Their five-match winning run and their dominant home record tell the same story. Sandefjord's 9 wins from 20 away games and 4 wins from their last 10 matches make them a vulnerable travelling side.

Key Points:

• Rosenborg have won their last 5 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 5

• Home record: 12W 3D 5L in 20 games, 8 clean sheets

• Head-to-head: Rosenborg have won 12 of 19 meetings

• Sandefjord's away record: 9W 2D 9L in 20 games

• Last two H2H meetings both ended in draws

Rosenborg home win at 1.4.