Roskilde vs Skive Prediction

Roskilde have been absolutely cooking in this 2. Division fixture, and the numbers don't lie. Three wins and two draws in their last five, with not a single loss in their last ten games. They've scored 11 goals in those five matches and conceded just four. At home over 20 games, they've picked up 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, averaging 1.95 goals per game. That's a side in serious form, boetjie. Their last five at all venues has seen them score 2.2 goals per game and concede 0.8, and they've failed to score in none of those five.

Skive, on the other hand, have a below-average record on the road. Their away record over 20 games is 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses, with just 1.2 goals per game and 1.4 conceded. In their last ten matches across all venues, they've managed 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, scoring 1.1 per game and conceding 1.6. Their last five has seen them fail to score in two of those matches, and three of those five games finished with two or fewer total goals. They did pick up a 2-0 win at home against HIK on 3 October, but on the road the numbers are telling a different story.

Now, the head-to-head at Roskilde's ground is worth a look. The two meetings there — from 6 September 2025 and 26 August 2023 — both ended 1-1, though both are historical. The most recent meeting between these two sides, at Skive's ground on 7 November 2025, was also a 1-1 draw.

The counter-argument is that Roskilde's home record over 20 games has seen 11 of those 20 go over 2.5 goals, and their recent scoring output is genuinely impressive. If they're in this kind of form, a 3-1 or 2-1 isn't out of the question. But look at the last five for both sides: three of Roskilde's last five and three of Skive's last five finished under 2.5. Skive's away record is 13 of 20 under 2.5. Roskilde's last 10 has 6 under 2.5, and Skive's last 10 has 5 under 2.5. The recent form of both teams is pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair.

I rate the chance of this game finishing with two or fewer goals at around 53%, which sits comfortably above the market's 48.08% implied probability. The evidence from both teams' recent form and Skive's away record lines up consistently for a low-scoring result.

Key Points:

• Roskilde are unbeaten in their last 10 games (5W 5D 0L) and have scored 2.1 goals per game

• Skive's away record over 20 games: 6W 7D 7L, with 13 of 20 finishing under 2.5 goals

• Three of Roskilde's last 5 and three of Skive's last 5 finished with two or fewer total goals

• The head-to-head at Roskilde's ground has produced two 1-1 draws (historical), and the recent meeting was also a 1-1 draw

• Both teams' last 10 games lean under 2.5: Roskilde 6/10 under, Skive 5/10 under

My pick: under 2.5 goals at 2.08.