Sampdoria vs Arezzo Prediction

Sampdoria and Arezzo meet at Sampdoria's ground on 18 October in Serie B, and the clearest signal in this fixture is Arezzo's struggle to find the net. In their last five matches, Arezzo have failed to score in three: the 0–0 draw with Cremonese on 10 October, the 0–2 loss at Lazio on 27 September, and the 0–5 defeat at Hellas Verona on 6 September. Across their last ten games, they have gone blank in four, and their away record over 20 matches shows 6 of 20 without scoring.

Sampdoria have been in poor form. Four of their last five games ended in defeat, including a 4–1 loss at Avellino on 9 October and a 1–2 home defeat to Juve Stabia on 29 August. Their home record over 20 games is 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at 1.75 points per game, but the recent stretch has been difficult. In their last five matches they have scored just 5 goals and conceded 12, with zero clean sheets.

The counter-argument is that Sampdoria have scored in four of their last five games, and their home record shows they failed to score in only 5 of 20. Arezzo's xG for across three recent matches with data averages 1.2 per game, which is not negligible. The head-to-head is blank — there are no recorded meetings between these two sides — so there is no historical pattern to lean on.

The matchup tables show both teams in similar territory over the last ten games: both average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Arezzo's away record over 20 games (11W 4D 5L, 1.85 ppg) is marginally better than Sampdoria's home record (10W 5D 5L, 1.75 ppg), but the recent form gap favours neither side decisively.

Key Points:

• Arezzo have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games and 4 of their last 10

• Arezzo's away record over 20 games shows 13 of 20 as BTTS no

• Sampdoria have lost 4 of their last 5, with 0 clean sheets in that stretch

• No head-to-head meetings on record between the two sides

• Both teams average 0.9 goals scored per game over their latest 10

The price for both teams not to score is 1.93, with the bookmaker-implied probability at 51.81%. My read of the evidence — Arezzo's recent scoring drought, their away record of 13 of 20 BTTS no, and the 0–0 at Cremonese just eight days ago — puts the chance of at least one team going blank at around 54%. That sits above the market's 51.81% and gives a small but real edge.

Verdict: Both teams not to score.