Sampdoria vs Mantova Prediction

Relegation Battle: Bottom Two Clash

Preview

Well well well, look what we have here - the two worst teams in Serie B going head-to-head! This is like choosing between burnt wors and undercooked boerewors at a braai, but let's dig into the numbers and see if we can find some value.

Sampdoria sitting in 19th place with just 7 points from 10 games - not exactly championship form, is it? They've only managed one win all season, that 4-1 thumping of Pescara back in October. But here's the thing, they've been quite hard to beat recently with 4 draws in their last 6 games. They've picked up points against decent sides like Empoli (1-1 away) and Frosinone (1-1 at home), so there's some fight in these boys.

Now Mantova... ag ne man, these guys are really struggling. Dead last in the league with only 5 points, and their away form is absolutely shocking. Zero wins on the road this season and they're only scoring 0.2 goals per game away from home! That's like going to a braai and not eating any meat - just doesn't make sense! They've lost 5 of their last 6 games and got hammered 5-1 by Frosinone at home not too long ago.

When you look at the head-to-head, Sampdoria won 1-0 at home last season, so they know how to get the job done against these guys.

The stats paint a clear picture - Sampdoria averages 1.2 goals at home, Mantova averages just 0.2 goals away. This has low-scoring written all over it, like a Sunday afternoon nap after a big lunch.

Both teams are struggling for goals and confidence, and in these relegation six-pointers, teams often play it safe rather than risk getting caught on the counter. Mantova especially will likely park the bus and hope for a point, given they can't score to save their lives on the road.

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
1.83
+EV
+6.1%
Estimated Chance58%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN