Servette FC vs FC Thun Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. On paper, it's a bit of a mismatch - Thun sitting pretty at the top of the Swiss Super League with 28 points, while Servette are languishing down in 9th with just 14. But football's not played on paper, is it?

Thun have been absolutely flying lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've just put three past Servette in October, backed that up with wins against Sion (twice) and Winterthur. Their away form's been solid too - 60% win rate on their travels, scoring nearly two goals per game.

Servette, on the other hand, are a bit hit and miss. They did beat Lausanne 3-1 and Lugano 2-1 at home, but then they went and lost 4-2 to bottom-of-the-table Winterthur. That's the sort of result that makes you scratch your head, innit?

Now, here's the interesting bit - Servette have actually won every home game they've ever played against Thun in the league. Two wins from two, perfect record. But that recent 3-1 thumping they took from Thun suggests the tide might be turning.

Both teams like a goal, mind you. Servette have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games, while Thun are at 60%. And when these two meet, it's usually a goal fest - 5 out of their 6 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals.

The bookies have got Servette as slight favorites at home at 2.05, which seems a bit generous considering Thun are top of the table and in much better form. Thun at 3.10 looks like proper value to me - the league leaders away to a mid-table side? I'll have some of that.