Sheffield Utd vs Norwich Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Tuesday night tussle at Bramall Lane. On paper, this looks about as one-sided as they come, but we're here to find value, not just back the obvious.

Sheffield Utd have been a different beast lately, haven't they? Six wins in their last ten games, including some proper hammerings - 4-0 against Stoke, 3-0 against Portsmouth, and another 3-0 over Sheffield Wednesday. That's proper form, that is. At home, they're solid as a rock, conceding just 0.6 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in half their recent matches. The Blades are averaging 2.1 goals per game overall, so they know where the net is.

Now for Norwich. Oh dear. Rock bottom of the Championship with just 13 points from 19 games. Their recent form is shocking - one win in ten, and that was at home against QPR. Away from home? Absolutely dreadful. Zero wins in their last five away trips, conceding 2.2 goals per game on their travels. The Canaries haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last ten matches. Not one. That tells you everything you need to know about their defensive frailties.

The head-to-head makes for even better reading if you're a Sheffield fan. Eight meetings between these two, and Sheffield Utd have never lost - five wins and three draws. At home, it's even more one-sided: three wins and a draw from four encounters. Norwich simply don't know how to beat the Blades.

Looking at the stats, Sheffield Utd are averaging 1.90 points per game recently, while Norwich are scraping by with just 0.50. That's a massive gulf in class and confidence. The Blades are scoring freely and defending well at home, while Norwich can't stop leaking goals on the road.

The odds have Sheffield Utd as favourites at 1.87, which seems about right given the form book. But where's the real value? I'm looking at the Both Teams to Score market. Norwich haven't kept a clean sheet in ten games, and Sheffield Utd are strong defensively at home. The BTTS No is priced at 2.04, which looks tasty to me.

You've got a team in Sheffield Utd who are scoring for fun and keeping it tight at the back, against a Norwich side who can't stop conceding and struggle to score away from home. That combination screams 'one team only' in the goals department.

Key Points:

• Sheffield Utd in excellent form with 6 wins in last 10 games

• Norwich rock bottom of league with terrible away form (0% win rate)

• Sheffield Utd unbeaten in 8 meetings vs Norwich (5 wins, 3 draws)

• Norwich haven't kept a clean sheet in 10 games

• Sheffield Utd strong defensively at home (0.6 goals conceded per game)

The Verdict: This has all the makings of a comfortable home win. Sheffield Utd are flying, Norwich are sinking, and the history books back up the Blades. I'm backing Both Teams to Score No - Sheffield Utd should have too much quality for a struggling Norwich side who can't defend for toffee away from home.