Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata Prediction

Shonan Bellmare host Albirex Niigata on 11 October in the J2 League, and the form books tell a story the market hasn't fully priced in.

Albirex Niigata arrive in impressive shape. Their last five matches produced three wins, a draw and a loss, with 2 points per game and 7 goals scored to 5 conceded. Over the last 10 games across all venues, they've won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3, averaging 1.9 points per game. Their most recent outing was a 2–1 home win over Tokushima Vortis on 3 October, and before that they drew 2–2 away at Blaublitz Akita on 26 September. The only blemish in that stretch was a 0–1 defeat at Matsumoto Yamaga in the J-League Cup on 29 September.

The counter-argument is Albirex's away record. Over the last 20 away games, spanning 12 months, they've won 5, drawn 5 and lost 10, averaging just 1 point per game. They score 1 goal per game on the road and have failed to score in 9 of those 20 outings. That's a genuine concern when you're travelling to Shonan Bellmare's ground.

Shonan Bellmare, for their part, are not in great form either. Their last five matches yielded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.6 points per game. The most recent result was a 0–4 defeat to FC Tokyo in the Emperor Cup on 7 October, where a red card in the 61st minute compounded the damage. Before that, they drew 1–1 away at Fujieda MYFC on 3 October and won 2–1 at Imabari on 26 September. Their home record over 20 games is 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses, with 1.35 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded.

The head-to-head at this venue is limited to a single recent meeting: on 8 November 2025, Shonan Bellmare won 5–2 in a J1 League fixture. Older meetings are historical record only, with Albirex winning 2 of 3 at their own ground and Shonan winning 1 at theirs, plus one 2–2 draw.

Key Points:

• Albirex Niigata have won 6 of their last 10 games across all venues, averaging 1.9 points per game

• Shonan Bellmare's last 10 games produced just 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses

• Albirex's away record over 20 games is 5W 5D 10L, with 9 failures to score

• The only recent head-to-head at this venue was a 5–2 Shonan Bellmare win in November 2025

• Shonan Bellmare's home record over 20 games is 8W 4D 8L

I'm backing the underdog here — Albirex Niigata away win.