Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chengdu Better City Prediction

Chengdu To Continue Domination In Sichuan Derby

Preview

Right then, let's get straight to business! This is a proper mismatch if I've ever seen one. Chengdu Better City are sitting pretty in 3rd place with 59 points, while Sichuan Jiuniu are languishing down in 12th with just 26 points. That's a 33-point gap, which tells you everything you need to know about the quality difference here.

Now, Sichuan have shown some fight recently - they actually beat Beijing Guoan 2-1 at home, and Beijing are 4th in the table! They also picked up wins against Wuhan Three Towns (2-1 away) and Meizhou Kejia (2-0 home). But let's not get carried away - they've lost 7 of their last 10 games and are shipping goals for fun.

Chengdu's recent form has been a bit mixed, especially away from home. They've drawn 4 of their last 5 away games - 1-1 at Shanghai Shenhua, 2-2 at Qingdao Youth Island, and even 3-3 at Hangzhou Greentown. They did lose 1-2 to Henan Jianye at home recently, which was a bit of a shocker.

But here's the killer stat - the head-to-head is completely one-sided. Chengdu have won 4 out of 6 meetings, including that brutal 5-0 thrashing back in June. Sichuan have NEVER beaten Chengdu at home! Most of these games have been goal-fests too - 5 out of 6 went Over 2.5 goals.

Looking at the numbers, Chengdu dominate possession (53.8% vs 42.5%) and take more shots, but Sichuan actually have better shot accuracy at home. Both teams are scoring and conceding regularly - Sichuan net 1.5 per game at home, Chengdu score 1.4 away.

The bookies have Chengdu at 1.42, which makes sense, but those away draws make me think this won't be a walkover. Both teams should find the net given the recent patterns and H2H history.

Key Points:

• Massive 33-point gap in league table between these teams

• Chengdu won 5-0 in last H2H meeting in June 2025

• Sichuan have never beaten Chengdu at home (0-1-1 record)

• Chengdu drawing 80% of away games recently

• Both teams scoring in 60% of recent matches

• 5 out of 6 H2H matches went Over 2.5 goals

I'm backing Both Teams to Score here. Sichuan are scoring at home (1.5 per game), Chengdu are scoring away (1.4 per game), and the H2H suggests goals. At 1.75, there's decent value in this market given both teams' recent attacking and defensive records.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.75
+EV
+8.5%
Estimated Chance62%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN