Southampton vs Leicester Prediction
Saints vs Foxes: Goal Fest on the Cards?
Preview
Ag man, this is going to be a proper cracker of a match! Two teams sitting close in the table - Southampton in 16th with 21 points and Leicester in 10th with 24 points. Only three points between these sides, so someone's walking away happy!
Southampton have been firing on all cylinders recently, boet! That 5-1 demolition of Charlton was something special - they've won three of their last four matches, scoring nine goals in those victories. But here's the thing - they actually play better away from home recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game on the road compared to just 1.0 at their own patch.
Leicester haven't been too shabby either. They've picked up two wins in their last three, including a solid 2-1 victory against Stoke City. Interesting stat - they're actually better travelers than home birds this season, winning 40% of their away matches compared to just 20% at home.
Now let's talk goals, because that's where the money is! Both teams have been involved in some proper goal fests. Both sides have seen both teams score in 80% of their recent matches - that's 8 out of 10 games! And when these two meet historically, it's usually goals galore - 6 of their 9 previous meetings went over 2.5 goals.
The head-to-head doesn't look great for Southampton though - Leicester have won 5 of the 9 meetings, and the Saints have only won 20% of their home games against the Foxes. Recent encounters have been high-scoring affairs too - we've seen scores like 0-2, 2-3, 0-5, and 1-4 in the last few meetings.
Both teams are averaging around 1.2-1.6 goals scored and conceded per game, and neither side has been keeping many clean sheets. Leicester haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches, while Southampton have managed just one in the same period.
With both teams scoring and conceding regularly, and the historical trend of goals between these sides, I'm backing both teams to find the net. It's just too good to pass up at 1.75!
Key Points:
- Both teams have BTTS in 80% of recent matches
- 6 of 9 H2H meetings went over 2.5 goals
- Leicester dominate H2H with 5 wins to 2
- Southampton score more away (2.0) than at home (1.0) recently
- Leicester have 40% away win rate vs 20% home win rate
- Neither team keeping clean sheets regularly
- Only 3 points separate them in the table
Summary: With both teams in decent scoring form and the historical trend of goals between these sides, Both Teams to Score looks like the smart bet here. Both sides are finding the net regularly and neither defense has been solid enough to keep a clean sheet.