Sparta Rotterdam host Willem II on 17 October in the Eredivisie, and the head-to-head tells a story that is hard to ignore. In the only meeting within the last 12 months — a KNVB Beker tie at Willem II's ground in December 2025 — Sparta Rotterdam won 5–1. Stretching back further, the full aggregate across 17 meetings spanning nine years shows Sparta Rotterdam winning 10 of those games, with Willem II managing just 5. The older meetings at Sparta Rotterdam's ground include a 4–0 home win, though those are historical record and do not carry the same weight as current form.
The recent form, though, paints a more complicated picture. Sparta Rotterdam have won just once in their last 10 matches across all venues (1W 5D 4L), and in the last 5 they sit at 0W 2D 3L, conceding 15 goals at a rate of 3.0 per game. Their most recent outing was a 3–3 draw at GO Ahead Eagles on 10 October, and before that a 0–4 home defeat to Heerenveen on 19 September. Willem II, meanwhile, are in a genuine slump: they have lost their last 3 matches, scoring just 2 and conceding 9. Their last five games yield 0W 1D 4L, with only 3 goals scored and 13 conceded. The xG numbers back up the struggle — Willem II's xG against sits at 2.0 per game across their last 4 matches with data, while their xG for is just 1.3 per game.
That said, the venue records over 20 games each tell a different story. Willem II's away record over 20 games is 10W 3D 7L at 1.65 points per game, scoring 1.6 per game and conceding 1.45. Sparta Rotterdam's home record over 20 games is 5W 8D 7L at 1.15 points per game, scoring 1.1 per game and conceding 1.35. On those 20-game venue records, Willem II's away profile actually looks the more productive one. Willem II have failed to score in only 1 of their last 20 away games, while Sparta Rotterdam have gone blank in 6 of their last 20 at home. Both teams' last 10 matches show 7 of 10 going over 2.5 goals and 7 of 10 seeing both teams score, so the expectation of an open, goal-heavy game is reasonable.
The strongest case for Sparta Rotterdam rests on the head-to-head dominance and the fact that Willem II are in a three-game losing run with a 0.6 goals-per-game output. The strongest counter-argument is that Sparta Rotterdam's own recent form is poor — 15 goals conceded in 5 games — and that Willem II's away record over 20 games is solid enough to keep them in the game. Neither side is in ideal shape, but the head-to-head record and the overall record of Sparta Rotterdam at home versus Willem II on the road tilts the balance toward the hosts.
Key Points:
- Sparta Rotterdam won the only recent head-to-head meeting 5–1 and hold a 10–5 record across 17 total meetings.
- Willem II are on a three-game losing run, scoring 2 and conceding 9 in that stretch.
- Sparta Rotterdam's last 5 matches: 0W 2D 3L, 15 goals conceded at 3.0 per game.
- Willem II's 20-game away record: 10W 3D 7L, 1.6 goals scored per game.
- Both teams' last 10 matches show 7 of 10 going over 2.5 goals and 7 of 10 with both teams scoring.
With no available prices that can be used for a recommendation on this fixture, the disciplined call is to sit out. No bet.
NetherlandsEredivisie
