St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

Alright, listen up! We've got a late one from the MLS this Sunday as St. Louis City host the Seattle Sounders over in the Midwest. And if you're looking for a bit of value to round off your weekend, I reckon the away side are the ones to be on.

Now, St. Louis are having a bit of a nightmare start to the campaign, ain't they? Just one point from their opening two matches – a 2-0 pasting away at high-flying San Diego followed by a 1-1 home draw against Charlotte. That's not exactly setting the world alight. They've only managed two wins in their last ten outings, and while their home record shows they're tricky to beat with four draws in their last five at home, they don't half make hard work of it. They drew 0-0 with DC United in a friendly and 1-1 with Charlotte in the league – plenty of huff and puff but not much end product.

Seattle, on the other hand, look like they've picked up where they left off. Six wins from their last ten tells you everything – these lads know how to get the job done. They opened their account with a solid 2-0 win over Colorado at home, and while they did slip up 2-1 away at Real Salt Lake last time out, don't let that fool you. The Sounders have got St. Louis' number, plain and simple. Five wins from the last six meetings, including a thumping 4-1 victory the last time these two locked horns. That's proper dominance.

The bookies have Seattle at 2.15 to take the three points, and I'm having some of that. St. Louis might be draw specialists at home with 80% of their last five ending level, but Seattle are a different kettle of fish. The hosts are struggling for goals – just one in their two league games so far – while the Sounders have the firepower to exploit a defence that's already shipped four goals in two matches.

Key Points:

• St. Louis have won just 20% of their last ten games and sit second-bottom of the West with only one point from two matches

• Seattle have won 60% of their last ten and boast a dominant 5-1 head-to-head record against St. Louis, including a 4-1 win last time out

• The hosts have drawn four of their last five home games but lost their most recent home meeting with Seattle

• Seattle's away form is patchy (20% win rate) but their overall quality and historical edge makes them the value play at 2.15

Summary: Back Seattle Sounders to win at 2.15. St. Louis are struggling for wins and Seattle have their measure historically. The away side's superior form and H2H dominance should see them through despite their patchy road record.