ST Mirren vs Celtic Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Scottish Premiership clash between ST Mirren and Celtic. On paper, it looks like a straightforward win for the Bhoys - they're sitting pretty in 2nd place with 23 points, while Mirren are languishing down in 9th with just 10 points. But football's never that simple, is it?

Celtic have been proper dodgy on their travels lately. They've lost their last three away games on the spin, shipping goals for fun - 2.67 per game away from home, to be precise. That's shocking for a team of their quality. They just put four past Kilmarnock at home, but on the road? Different story entirely.

ST Mirren, bless 'em, aren't exactly world-beaters at home either - only winning 25% of their home games and scoring a measly 0.75 goals per game on their own patch. But here's the thing: they've got some fight in them. They drew 2-2 with league leaders Hearts not too long ago, and they've been finding the net in 60% of their recent matches.

The head-to-head tells a grim story for Mirren fans - they've never beaten Celtic in 8 attempts. But Celtic's current away form is so poor that you've got to wonder if that record's about to get a bit of a shake-up.

Looking at the stats, Celtic dominate possession (64.7% vs 49.8%) and take more shots, but when you're conceding nearly three goals every away game, all that possession means sweet FA. Mirren might not create much, but they're facing a team that's been leaking goals like a sieve on the road.

The goal expectancy suggests both teams should score, and given Celtic's defensive nightmares away from home combined with Mirren's tendency to nick a goal at home, that's where the value might be hiding.