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Right then, let's have a proper look at this Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lille. Two sides neck and neck in the table - just one point separates 'em, with Lille sitting pretty in 4th and Strasbourg not far behind in 7th.
Now, Strasbourg at home have been a right handful, I'll give 'em that. They're banging in 2.2 goals per game on their own patch and keeping things tight at the back with just 0.6 conceded. They've had some proper results too - that 5-0 hammering of Angers and 3-0 against Auxerre shows what they can do when they're firing. But let's not get carried away - they also shipped four against Rennes last time out, so they can be a bit hit and miss.
Lille, on the other hand, are a different beast away from home. They're solid as a rock at the back - only letting in 0.5 goals per away game - but they couldn't hit a barn door with a banjo up front, managing just 0.75 goals per away match. They did put six past Metz recently, but that was at home where they look much more dangerous.
When these two have met, it's been Lille who've had the edge historically, but recent meetings have been proper tight affairs. We've seen 2-1, 3-3, 0-1 - not much between 'em.
Looking at the numbers, this screams 'tight game' to me. Strasbourg will attack at home, but Lille's away defense is no joke. The goal expectancy is only about 2 goals total, which tells its own story. With Lille struggling to score on the road and Strasbourg being a bit inconsistent, I'm leaning towards this one staying under the 2.5 goal mark.
