Sturm Graz II vs First Vienna Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Austrian 2. Liga clash between Sturm Graz II and First Vienna. The home side are having an absolute shocker, sitting second from bottom with just 5 points from 9 games. They've managed only one win all season and their defensive record is about as solid as a chocolate teapot - zero clean sheets in their last 10 matches! That's right, not a single clean sheet. They're shipping goals at 2.3 per game, including a 4-0 hammering by league leaders SKN ST. Polten and even a 4-4 draw with Stripfing.

First Vienna, on the other hand, are plodding along nicely in mid-table. They've got double the points of their opponents and look much more solid at the back. Four clean sheets in their last 10 games shows they know how to defend, unlike their hosts tomorrow. They're averaging just 1 goal conceded per game and showed what they can do on their travels with that 3-0 win at SV Kapfenberg.

Now, here's where it gets interesting for us punters. Sturm Graz II might be rubbish defensively, but they do score goals at home - 2.17 per game to be exact. They put three past bottom side Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in their only recent win. First Vienna are no mugs going forward either, netting 1.6 per game away from home.

The head-to-head is dead even over six meetings, but both teams have found the net in four of those six encounters. Given Sturm Graz II's inability to keep anyone out and their tendency to score at home, plus First Vienna's decent away attacking record, this has 'both teams score' written all over it.

The bookies have First Vienna as favorites at 2.10, which makes sense given the league positions, but I reckon there's better value elsewhere. When a team hasn't kept a clean sheet in 10 games and scores regularly at home, you've got to fancy both teams to get on the scoresheet.