Sturm Graz arrive at this fixture in formidable shape. Their last five matches have produced four wins and a single defeat, with 12 goals scored and just 5 conceded. The current run of two consecutive victories has seen them score 7 and concede only 1. At home, the numbers are even more compelling: across 20 home games, Sturm Graz have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses, averaging 2.05 goals per game while conceding just 0.9. Eight of those 20 home matches ended in a clean sheet.
The head-to-head reinforces the picture. In the most recent meeting between these two sides, on 8 February 2026 at Sturm Graz's ground, the hosts won 1–0. Looking further back, Sturm Graz won three of the four older meetings at both venues, with the only non-win being a 1–1 draw at Ried's ground in 2022. The older meetings are historical record and do not carry the same weight as the recent fixture, but the pattern is consistent.
Ried, however, are not without their own credentials. Their last five matches have yielded three wins and two draws, with 13 goals scored. They beat Austria Vienna 3–2 at home on 17 October and won 2–1 away at WSG Wattens on 10 October. Their current run of two wins has seen them score 5 and concede 3. In their last 10 matches across all venues, Ried have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3, scoring 2.3 per game. They have scored in all five of their last five matches, and in their last 10 games, both teams to score has been yes in 9 of 10.
The counter-argument to a straightforward Sturm Graz win is Ried's recent scoring output and the fact that they have not lost in five. Their away record over 20 games does show 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses, but the recent away win at WSG Wattens suggests they are capable of winning on the road. Sturm Graz's 0–3 defeat at Bournemouth on 15 October, while an away European fixture, is a reminder that they are not impervious on their day.
The key tension is this: Sturm Graz's home record is exceptional and the head-to-head favours them, but Ried's recent form is genuinely positive and their scoring output is high. The evidence points strongly to Sturm Graz, yet the margin is not so wide that I can call this a certainty. When the numbers do not give me the comfort I need, I pass.
Key Points:
- Sturm Graz have won 11 of their last 20 home games, conceding just 0.9 per game
- Ried's away record over 20 games is 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses
- The recent head-to-head on 8 February 2026 ended 1–0 to Sturm Graz at home
- Ried have scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches, including an away win at WSG Wattens
- Sturm Graz's last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 loss, 12 goals scored, 5 conceded
No Bet.
