Sutton Utd vs Eastleigh Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Tuesday night tussle between Sutton Utd and Eastleigh. Sutton are rock bottom of the National League with just 9 points from 16 games, but don't let that fool you - they've been drawing for fun lately. We're talking proper end-to-end stuff, with three 3-3 draws in their last 10 games, including crackers against Hartlepool and West Ham's kids. They finally got a win in the FA Cup against Telford, scoring twice and conceding once.

Eastleigh, sitting pretty in 12th, have been a bit more sensible. Four wins, three draws, three losses in their last 10. But here's the thing - they just got absolutely hammered 3-0 by Walsall in the cup. That's not great preparation, is it? On the road, they've been decent enough though - winning half of their last four away matches and only letting in 0.5 goals per game.

Now here's where it gets interesting. Sutton might be bottom, but they've got Eastleigh's number at home. Perfect record against them - four wins from four meetings. Last time they played, Sutton nicked it 1-0. But Sutton's home games this season have been anything but tight - they're scoring two per game but also letting in two. No clean sheets in 10 matches tells you everything you need to know about their defence.

Eastleigh's away defensive record looks solid on paper, but that recent 3-0 battering suggests they might be a bit shaky right now. And when you've got a Sutton side that's been involved in so many high-scoring games recently, you've got to fancy goals.

The bookies have got Over 2.5 at 1.85, which looks about right to me. Sutton's games have been goal fests, Eastleigh just shipped three, and Sutton can't keep a clean sheet to save their lives. Add in the fact that Sutton average two goals at home, and you've got all the ingredients for a proper barnstormer.

Key Points:

• Sutton are bottom but drawing lots of high-scoring games recently

• Eastleigh just got hammered 3-0 by Walsall

• Sutton have perfect home record against Eastleigh historically

• Sutton scoring 2.00 per game at home but conceding 2.00 per game

• No clean sheets in Sutton's last 10 games

• Eastleigh solid away defensively but recent form suggests vulnerability

Given the recent form of both teams and Sutton's attacking approach at home, I'm backing goals in this one. Sutton's games have been entertainment value personified, and with Eastleigh coming off a defensive collapse, we could be in for another goal-fest.