Tokushima Vortis vs Imabari Prediction

The numbers on this fixture are hard to argue with. Tokushima Vortis at home have won 12 of their last 20 home games, drawing 4 and losing 4, and they average 1.65 goals per game while conceding just 0.9. Ten of those 20 home games ended in a clean sheet. That is a side that controls matches on their own ground.

Imabari are a different story. Their last 20 away games read 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses. They average 0.75 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, and they have kept a clean sheet in only 2 of those 20 trips. The gap between these two records is stark: Tokushima Vortis score 1.65 per game at home while Imabari score 0.75 away, and Imabari concede 1.7 per game on the road while Tokushima Vortis concede 0.9 at home.

The head-to-head at this venue adds a layer of caution. The two recent meetings within the last 12 months produced a 1–1 draw at Tokushima Vortis's ground in May 2026 and a 2–1 Imabari win at their own ground in March. At this specific venue, the recent record is one meeting, one draw. The older meetings — a 1–0 Tokushima Vortis win in October 2025 and a 1–0 away win in May 2025 — are historical and do not carry the same weight as current form.

Tokushima Vortis's recent form is mixed. They beat Tochigi City 3–0 at home on 26 September, but they lost 1–2 to Albirex Niigata away on 3 October and were beaten 0–5 by Gamba Osaka in the Emperor Cup on 23 September. Their current run is a single loss. Imabari, meanwhile, won 2–1 at Tochigi City on 3 October, snapping three consecutive losses that included a 0–4 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol in the Emperor Cup. Both teams enter this fixture with a 2W 0D 3L record over their last five games, so the immediate form is a wash.

The counter-argument is that Imabari's away record, while poor in terms of wins, includes 5 draws in 20 games. They are not a side that simply folds on the road. And the most recent meeting at this ground ended level. Tokushima Vortis have also conceded 11 goals in their last 5 games, which is not the picture the home aggregate paints.

Key Points:

• Tokushima Vortis home record: 12W 4D 4L in 20 games, 1.65 goals scored per game, 0.9 conceded per game, 10 clean sheets

• Imabari away record: 3W 5D 12L in 20 games, 0.75 goals scored per game, 1.7 conceded per game, 2 clean sheets

• Recent head-to-head at this venue: 1–1 draw (May 2026)

• Both teams: 2W 0D 3L in last 5 matches

• Imabari's away record includes 5 draws, showing they can be stubborn on the road

The football evidence points firmly to Tokushima Vortis, but the available prices could not be used for a recommendation. No Bet.