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Torino and Udinese arrive at this Serie A clash on 12 October in remarkably similar shape. Both sides have managed just one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches, and both are sitting on 0.8 points per game over that stretch. Torino's five games span from 29 August to 19 September, while Udinese's run covers 2 September to 26 September, and the results tell a story of two teams still searching for consistency.
The head-to-head tilts toward Udinese in the recent window. The two meetings within the last 12 months both ended in Udinese victories: a 2–0 at Udinese's ground in May 2026 and a 1–2 at Torino's ground in January 2026. That January meeting at this very venue is the most directly relevant data point, and it showed Udinese finding a way through Torino's defence. The older meetings, stretching back to 2024, are historical record and do not carry the same weight, though they do show Torino winning at home in April 2025 (2–0) and Udinese drawing 2–2 at their own ground in December 2024.
Torino's home record over 20 games is 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses, with 1.25 goals scored per game and 1.45 conceded. Udinese's away record over 20 games is 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses, with 1.4 goals scored per game and 1.6 conceded. Torino's home numbers are marginally better on points per game (1.3 to 1.2) and on goals conceded, while Udinese edge the scoring output on the road. In the latest 10 games across all venues, Torino has conceded just 1.0 per game compared to Udinese's 1.7, which gives Torino a defensive edge in the recent window. However, Torino's scoring has been poor at 0.8 per game in those 10, while Udinese have managed 1.5.
The counter-argument for Torino is their defensive solidity at home. In their last 10 games, Torino kept 3 clean sheets and conceded only 10 goals, and their xG against sits at 1.31 per game across four matches with data. Udinese, by contrast, have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 and their xG against is 1.84 per game. Torino's xG for is 0.95 per game, which suggests they are not creating much, but the low output also means fewer goals in the match overall. Udinese's xG for is 1.34 per game, which points to a more open, goal-rich performance.
The over/under picture is genuinely split. Torino's latest 10 games saw 7 finish under 2.5 goals, and their home record over 20 games leans over (11 over to 9 under). Udinese's away record over 20 games is 11 under to 9 over, but their last 5 games produced 3 over 2.5. The two recent head-to-head meetings at this venue produced 3 goals (1–2) and at the reverse venue produced 2 goals (2–0), so the evidence cuts both ways.
Key Points:
- Both Torino and Udinese have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
- Udinese won both recent head-to-head meetings, including 1–2 at Torino's ground in January 2026.
- Torino's latest 10 games saw 7 finish under 2.5 goals, with just 0.8 scored per game.
- Udinese's away record over 20 games: 7W 3D 10L, scoring 1.4 per game.
- Torino's home record over 20 games: 8W 2D 10L, conceding 1.45 per game.
The available prices do not offer a clear edge given the mixed evidence and the market's fairly balanced view of this fixture. No Bet.