Preview
Mr SimpleTreaty United host Cobh Ramblers on 16 October in the First Division, and if the last 12 months of head-to-head are anything to go by, the visitors have been the ones to beat. Four of the five recent meetings between these two sides went to Cobh Ramblers, including a 2–0 win at their own ground in August and a 1–2 away win at Treaty United's ground back in May. The only blemish for the Ramblers in that stretch was a 1–0 loss at Treaty United in October 2025.
That said, the record at this specific ground is split. In the two meetings at Treaty United's ground within the last year, the hosts won 1–0 and the visitors won 1–2. So the head-to-head edge is real but not as one-sided as the four-to-one tally might suggest.
Treaty United's form heading into this one is mixed. They won 2–1 away at Athlone Town on 9 October, but that came just one week after a 0–4 home defeat to UCD. Over their last five matches, they've managed 3 wins and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their home record over 20 games is 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses, with 1.15 goals scored per game and 1.25 conceded.
Cobh Ramblers, for their part, have been in decent rhythm. They lost 0–2 at home to Kerry on 9 October, but before that they thrashed Bray Wanderers 4–1 away and drew 3–3 with Athlone Town. Their last five matches have seen them score 11 goals at 2.2 per game, though they've also conceded 11. Their away record over 20 games is 8 wins, 0 draws and 12 losses, with 1.2 goals scored per game and 1.9 conceded.
The counter-argument for Treaty United is straightforward: their home record is essentially a coin flip, and Cobh Ramblers' away record over 20 games is 8 wins from 20. The Ramblers also lost their last game, and their defensive record away (1.9 conceded per game) is poor. Treaty United's defence at home, by contrast, has kept 5 clean sheets in 20 games.
Key Points:
- Cobh Ramblers won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings, including a 1–2 win at Treaty United's ground in May 2026
- Treaty United's home record over 20 games: 8W 4D 8L, 1.15 scored per game
- Cobh Ramblers' away record over 20 games: 8W 0D 12L, 1.2 scored per game
- Cobh Ramblers have scored 2.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches
- Treaty United lost 0–4 at home to UCD on 2 October
The market prices Cobh Ramblers at 2.01 for the away win, implying roughly 50% chance. My own reading of the head-to-head dominance, the Ramblers' scoring form, and the overall strength of the visitors points me toward them at a slightly higher probability than the market suggests. I'd put their chances around 53%, which gives a small edge on the 2.01 price.
My pick: Cobh Ramblers away win.