Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction

Union Berlin to feast on leaky Heidenheim defense

Preview

Ag man, this one looks like a braai where one team forgot to bring the meat! Union Berlin are sitting pretty in 8th spot with 15 points, while Heidenheim are rock bottom with a pathetic 5 points from 11 games. That's worse than trying to braai in the rain, boet!

Union's recent form shows they're no pushovers at home. They drew 2-2 with Bayern Munich (who are absolutely smashing everyone this season), held Freiburg to a 0-0, and beat Gladbach 3-1. They just picked up a solid 1-0 win away at St Pauli too, so the momentum's building. They're averaging 1.30 goals per game and have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.

Now for Heidenheim... shame, this is painful to watch. Their away form is an absolute disaster - 100% loss rate in their last 4 away games! They're conceding a shocking 3.00 goals per game on the road and haven't kept a single clean sheet in 10 matches. Recent away results include getting hammered 6-0 by Bayer Leverkusen and losing 3-1 to Hoffenheim. They're only scoring 0.70 goals per game, which is like bringing salads to a braai - completely pointless!

The head-to-head shows Heidenheim have historically dominated this fixture, but that was when they could actually defend. Right now, their away defense is more full of holes than a bokdrol spitting competition!

With Union scoring 1.33 goals at home and Heidenheim conceding 3 away, we're looking at goals galore here. The goal expectancy suggests around 3.09 total goals, and at 1.91 for Over 2.5, that's value I'll take all day long. Heidenheim's defense is so bad it's almost funny - almost!

Match time
Recommended Bet
OVER 2 5
Odds
1.91
+EV
+5.1%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN