Vasco DA Gama vs Remo Prediction

Vasco DA Gama arrive at this fixture riding a four-game winning streak that has seen them score 11 goals and concede just two. The most recent of those victories came on 7 October, a 2–1 win at Botafogo's ground, and before that they dismantled Coritiba 5–0 at home and beat Santa Fe 2–0 in CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Over their latest 10 matches across all venues, Vasco have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2, averaging 2.2 points per game and 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.8.

At home, the picture is just as compelling. Across 20 home games dating back to 19 March, Vasco have won 11, drawn 4 and lost 5, scoring 1.55 per game and conceding 0.95. They have kept a clean sheet in 9 of those 20 matches.

Remo, by contrast, are heading in the opposite direction. Their latest 10 matches have produced 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, with 0.3 points per game and 0.8 goals scored per game. In their last five, they have lost four, conceding 9 goals while managing just 5. Their most recent outing was a 1–1 draw at home against Gremio on 7 October, but before that they had lost to Santos, Bahia, Flamengo and Coritiba. Away from home over 20 games, Remo have won only 4, drawn 6 and lost 10, averaging 0.9 points per game and conceding 1.65 per game.

The head-to-head is thin on recent evidence. The only meeting within the last 12 months was a 1–1 draw at Remo's ground on 11 April 2026. The older meetings, stretching back to 2016, are historical record and do not carry much weight for current form.

The counter-argument is that Remo did manage to score in their most recent game and have kept the scoreline level in one of their last five matches, suggesting they are not entirely without a threat. However, the gap in results, goals and points per game between the two sides over the last 10 games is stark: Vasco average 2.2 points per game to Remo's 0.3, and 1.8 goals per game to Remo's 0.8.

Key Points:

• Vasco DA Gama have won their last 4 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 2

• Remo have won just 0 of their last 10 games, losing 7

• Vasco's home record: 11W 4D 5L in 20 games; Remo's away record: 4W 6D 10L in 20 games

• The only recent head-to-head meeting (April 2026) ended 1–1 at Remo's ground

• Vasco average 1.55 goals per game at home; Remo concede 1.65 per game away

The market prices Vasco DA Gama's win at 1.35, implying a 74.07% chance. Given the sheer scale of the form gap — four straight wins for Vasco against zero wins in ten for Remo — I rate the home win at roughly 80%, which sits comfortably above the market's view. That is the value I am backing.

Verdict: home win