Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction

Venezia vs Fiorentina | Serie A Betting Preview

Preview

Right, let's have a look at this one. We've got two teams sitting at the bottom of the pile, both winless after three games. It’s a bit of a 'who can blink first' situation, isn't it? Both sides are looking to salvage their seasons, but they're starting from a very difficult place.

Venezia are usually proper hosts. When they play at home, they tend to put the ball in the net—averaging a massive 3.75 goals per game over their last few home fixtures. They also have a perfect record against Fiorentina when playing in their own backyard, winning all three meetings. They're looking to bounce back after a couple of tough results, including a 3-2 loss to Frosinone and a 2-1 defeat to Udinese. Despite the winless start, their home scoring stats suggest they aren't afraid to go for it.

On the other side, Fiorentina are having a proper rough trot. They’re currently bottom of the league, winless, and their away form is looking a bit shaky, managing only a 20% win rate on the road. They’ve struggled to find the back of the net lately, averaging just 1.00 goal per game away from home. They’re coming off a 1-2 loss to Torino and a heavy 3-0 defeat to Frosinone. It looks like they're struggling to find any rhythm or consistency on the move.

But here’s the rub. Both sides are coming into this on a three-game losing streak. Venezia’s recent trends are looking a bit shaky, and while they score plenty at home, they’ve also been letting goals in. Fiorentina are also struggling to keep things tidy. When you see two teams both at zero points and both on a losing skid, it makes the 'obvious' choice much harder to pin down.

The bookies are offering 3.00 for a Venezia win, which looks tempting given the history, but with both teams in a slump, it's hard to find that extra bit of certainty. The 'Over 2.5 Goals' at 1.80 is there, and while it looks like a decent shout given Venezia's home scoring, the value just isn't quite sharp enough for us today. We need a bit more of a clear signal before we put our money on the line.

When in doubt, we sit our hands in our pockets. We need to see a bit more stability from these two before we back a winner.

Key Points:

  • Both teams are currently winless (0 points) after 3 games.
  • Venezia has a 100% home win rate against Fiorentina.
  • Venezia averages a high 3.75 goals per game at home.
  • Fiorentina has a poor 20% win rate away from home.
  • Both teams are currently on a 3-game losing streak.

Summary: No Bet

Match time
Recommended Bet
NO BET
Odds
0.00
+EV
0.0%
Estimated Chance0%
Stake & Profit
Stake:0.00Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN