Vicenza Virtus vs Pisa Prediction

Vicenza Virtus host Pisa on 10 October in Serie B, and the setup offers a fascinating contrast between two very different records. Vicenza's home numbers over the last 20 games at their ground are impressive: 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with 1.45 goals scored per game and just 1 conceded. Six of those 20 home games ended in a clean sheet. Pisa, by contrast, have won only 1 of their last 20 away games, drawing 9 and losing 10, scoring just 1 per game and conceding 2.15.

The problem for the home side is that their recent form tells a very different story. Vicenza have won none of their last five matches, losing the last two (1–2 at Koper on 3 October and 1–2 at Hellas Verona on 20 September), drawing two and losing the fifth. Their current run is two consecutive defeats, conceding 4 goals in the process. Over the last 10 games they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, conceding 2.1 per game and failing to keep a single clean sheet.

Pisa's recent form is somewhat more encouraging. They have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 in their last five, including a 3–0 away win at Juve Stabia on 6 September and a 2–1 home win over Catanzaro on 30 August. Their most recent game was a 2–2 draw at Mantova on 20 September. However, their away record over 20 games remains a concern: only 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses, with 9 of those 20 away games ending without Pisa scoring.

The head-to-head is entirely historical, with no meetings within the last 12 months. The six recorded meetings span from 2016 to 2022 and produced 2 Vicenza wins, 3 draws and 1 Pisa win. At Vicenza's ground, the three meetings yielded 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss for the hosts. Five of the six meetings saw both teams score, and five went over 2.5 goals.

The strongest counter-argument to a Vicenza win is simply their current form. Two straight losses, no wins in five games, and a 0.4 points-per-game rate in that stretch make it hard to back them at home, even with the long-term home record looking solid. Pisa's recent away results, while their 20-game away record is poor, show they are capable of winning on the road.

Key Points:

• Vicenza's 20-game home record (11W 5D 4L) is strong, but their last five matches contain no wins and two straight losses.

• Pisa's 20-game away record is poor (1W 9D 10L), yet their last five include two wins.

• The head-to-head is entirely historical (no meetings in the last 12 months), with 5 of 6 meetings producing both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals.

• Both teams' recent goal output favours open games: Vicenza went over 2.5 in 4 of 5 recent matches; Pisa went over 2.5 in all 5.

• The market sees Pisa as the most likely outcome, with Vicenza as the next most likely.

No Bet.