Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Segunda Liga clash between Vizela and Felgueiras 1932. The home side are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 14 points from 7 games, while Felgueiras are languishing down in 9th with 10 points.

Vizela have been solid at home this season, winning 60% of their home games and keeping things tight at the back - only letting in 0.8 goals per game on their own patch. They've had some decent results too, like that 2-0 win against Leixoes and a 1-0 victory over Oliveirense. They did lose their last game 1-0 to Chaves, but that was away from home against a side that's been flying.

Felgueiras, on the other hand, have been proper shocking on their travels. Just a 16.67% win rate away from home, scoring less than a goal per game (0.83) and shipping 1.5 goals per match. They've just come off a 2-0 cup defeat to Atlético CP and have lost 2 of their last 3 away league games without even finding the net.

Now, I know what you're thinking - the head-to-head shows Felgueiras have won 2 of the 3 meetings, including a 1-0 win back in July. But that was a friendly, mate. League form's what counts, and right now Vizela are flying while Felgueiras are struggling on the road.

The home side have also had a proper rest - 20 days since their last game, while Felgueiras have only had 5 days since that cup match. That could be crucial, especially this early in the season.

Looking at the numbers, Vizela are averaging 1.6 goals at home and keeping clean sheets regularly. Felgueiras are averaging just 0.83 goals away and conceding 1.5. The goal expectancies have Vizela scoring 1.55 and Felgueiras 0.82, which tells its own story really.

The odds of 1.90 for a home win look about right to me, maybe even slightly in our favour given the gulf in form and home advantage. I'd fancy Vizela to get the job done here, probably by a goal or two.