Preview
Mr SimpleVoitsberg vs First Vienna. 2. Liga. 16 October, and the form books are telling a pretty clear story.
First Vienna are flying. Four wins from their last five, scoring 2.6 a game and conceding just 0.8. They've been hitting the back of the net in bunches — 3-1 at home to SKN ST. Polten, 3-1 at WSPG Wels, 2-0 at Rapid Wien II, and a 4-0 thrashing of Austria Salzburg in the cup. Their only blemish was a friendly loss at Lask Linz two weeks ago, but that's a friendly, and they bounced back immediately. Over 20 away games, they've won 11, drawn 3 and lost 6, scoring 1.6 per game and keeping 10 clean sheets. That's a team that travels well, no doubt about it.
Voitsberg, on the other hand, are going through the wringer. Three losses from their last five, and they haven't kept a clean sheet in any of them. They've conceded 11 in five games — that's 2.2 a game. Their last two outings have been defeats: 2-3 at Admira Wacker and 1-2 at Wolfsberger AC (a friendly, mind you, but still a loss). At home, they did pick up a 2-1 win over Austria Salzburg three weeks ago, but before that they were beaten 1-4 by Sturm Graz in the cup. The 20-game home record looks strong — 14 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, 3.25 goals per game — but that stretches back 12 months and the recent results are telling a different story.
Now, the head-to-head here is entirely historical. The last time these two met was April 2025, and before that, October 2024. Three meetings, all over 17 months ago. First Vienna won two, they drew one. So there's no recent pattern to lean on. This is a fresh matchup in terms of current form, and I'd rather trust what these teams are doing right now than what they did a year and a half ago.
The counter-argument for Voitsberg is their home record. 14 wins from 20 at home, 3.25 goals per game, and they've failed to score in only 2 of those 20. That's a team with a history of performing at home. But history is history, and the last five games say they're struggling to find their rhythm. No clean sheets, 2.2 conceded per game, and two straight defeats. That's not the Voitsberg the 20-game record would have you believe.
Key Points:
- First Vienna have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 4
- Voitsberg have lost their last 2 and haven't kept a clean sheet in 5 games
- First Vienna's away record: 11 wins from 20, 10 clean sheets
- The head-to-head is 100% historical — no meetings within the last 12 months
- Voitsberg's 20-game home record (14W 2D 4L) is strong but spans 12 months
The market has First Vienna at 2.15, which prices them at 46.51%. My read is that they're a bit better than that — the form gap is real, and Voitsberg's defensive issues at home right now make this a tough one for them. I'd put First Vienna's chances at around 50%, which sits above the market's view. That's value, and it's the kind of bet I'd happily put a tenner on.
Verdict: First Vienna away win at 2.15.