Watford vs Bristol City Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Friday night footy. Watford hosting Bristol City, and I'm seeing some proper value here for the home side.

Now, I know what you're thinking - Bristol City are sitting pretty in 5th place, four spots above Watford. But form, my friend, is temporary and class is permanent. And Watford are showing some proper class at home this season.

The Hornets have been absolutely bossing it at Vicarage Road - winning 80% of their home games and banging in 1.8 goals per match on their own patch. They just put on a show against second-placed Middlesbrough, stuffing them 3-0. That's not luck, that's proper quality.

Bristol City? Well, they're coming off a right hiding. Stoke City gave them a 5-1 pasting last time out. That's the sort of result that can knock the stuffing out of a team. Their away form's been decent-ish, but that recent hammering can't be ignored.

Here's the kicker though - Watford absolutely own Bristol City at home. We're talking a 4-0-1 head-to-head record in previous meetings. That's proper domination, that is. The Robins just don't like it up 'em when they come to Vicarage Road.

Both sides are scoring and conceding around 1.2 goals per game over their last 10 matches, so we should see some action. But with Watford's home attack firing on all cylinders and Bristol City's confidence possibly shot after that Stoke mauling, I'm leaning heavily towards the home side.

The bookies have Watford at 2.35, which seems generous given their home form, that big win against Middlesbrough, and their historical dominance over Bristol City on this ground. Sometimes the numbers just scream value, and this is one of those times.