Woking vs Tamworth Prediction

Alright, settle in with your pint, because we've got a proper National League scrap on our hands this Saturday. Woking are playing host to Tamworth down at the Laithwaite Stadium, and if the recent form book is anything to go by, we might be in for a few goals.

Now, Woking have had a bit of a mixed bag lately, haven't they? They managed a solid 2-2 draw away at Boston United last time out, which ain't too shabby considering Boston have been picking up points at a decent rate. But before that, it was a bit grim - a 1-0 loss at Marine in the Trophy and a proper thumping 3-0 defeat away to league leaders Rochdale. Still, you can't keep a good side down for long, and when Woking play at home, they tend to find the net. We're talking a 4-0 hammering of Hartlepool and a 2-1 win over Macclesfield in their last two at the Laithwaite. That's six goals in two home games, mate. They're averaging three a pop on their own patch recently.

Tamworth, on the other hand, are on the up. Their trend lines are all pointing north with an improving goals record and points picking up to 1.40 per game over their last ten. They absolutely demolished Altrincham 5-1 recently and followed that up with a cracking 3-2 win against high-flying Boreham Wood. Even when they don't win, they're scoring - that 2-2 draw at Morecambe shows they can find the net away from home. That said, their away form isn't exactly stellar with no wins in their last three on the road, including a 2-0 defeat at Yeovil last week.

Looking at the head-to-head, Tamworth have had the edge historically with three wins to Woking's two, and they've never lost at Woking's place. The last time they met back in November, Tamworth nicked it 1-0. But here's the thing - six of the last seven meetings between these two have seen both teams score, and five of seven have gone over 2.5 goals.

With Woking banging them in at home and Tamworth involved in goal-fests like that 5-1 and 3-2 recently, the 1.85 on offer for over 2.5 goals looks like the value play here. Woking's defence can be leaky - they've conceded in eight of their last ten - and while Tamworth struggle for wins on the road, they usually manage to nick one.

Key Points:

• Woking have scored 6 goals in their last 2 home games (4-0 vs Hartlepool, 2-1 vs Macclesfield)

• Tamworth's last 3 games have seen 10 goals total (5-1 win, 3-2 win, 2-0 loss)

• 5 of the last 7 H2H meetings have gone over 2.5 goals

• Woking's last 10 games average 3.0 total goals per game (1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded)

• Tamworth are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 league games (3 wins, 2 draws)

Summary:

This has got goals written all over it. Woking are dangerous at home but can't keep clean sheets, while Tamworth are in decent nick and know where the net is. At 1.85, the over 2.5 goals bet is where the smart money goes. It's not rocket science - when two teams who like a scrap meet, back the goals.