Some betting details are unavailable for this preview.
Right, so we've got Wolfsberger AC at home to WSG Wattens on 18 October, and I'll be honest – this one's a bit of a puzzle. Let me walk you through it.
The strongest case for the hosts comes from their home record. Over 20 home games, Wolfsberger AC have won 9, drawn 8 and lost just 3, racking up 1.75 points per game. That's a solid base. And when you look at the head-to-head at their ground in the last 12 months, they've won once (2–0 in May) and drawn once (0–0 in November). No defeats. That tells you something about how this fixture plays out when it's at their end of town.
But here's the rub. Wolfsberger AC's recent form is not pretty. In their last five matches, they've won once, drawn once and lost three times. Two of those losses were 0–3 – one to Rapid Vienna at home on 12 September and one to SCR Altach away on 11 October. They've scored just 4 goals in those five games and conceded 12. Their xG against sits at 2.1 per game over the last five matches with data, which is a lot of pressure leaking through the back door.
Now flip it around. WSG Wattens are in noticeably better shape. Their last five: two wins, one draw, two losses. Over the last 10 games they've won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4, scoring 20 and conceding 14. That's 2.0 goals a game going in and 1.4 coming out. They've got a 6–0 away win against SSV Jahn Regensburg and a 4–0 cup win over Leithaprodersdorf, which shows they can be ruthless when the form is there.
Their away record over 20 games is 9 wins, 2 draws, 9 losses – 1.45 points per game. They score 2.6 per game on the road, which is the highest scoring figure in this matchup. That's a lot of goals coming at Wolfsberger AC's defence, which has been leaking 2.4 per game in the last five.
The counter-argument for the hosts is straightforward: the home record is the best single number in this fixture, and the head-to-head at their ground hasn't gone against them in the last year. Wolfsberger AC concede 1.15 per game at home compared to WSG Wattens' 1.4 away, and they've kept 7 clean sheets in 20 home games. The 0–0 draw in November and the 2–0 win in May suggest this fixture tends to be tight at this end.
But I can't shake the worry that Wolfsberger AC are in a poor run. Three losses in five, two of them scoreless, and the xG numbers say the defence is under real pressure. WSG Wattens, for all their mixed away record, are scoring at a much higher rate and are in better recent shape.
Key Points:
- Wolfsberger AC's home record is 9W 8D 3L in 20 games, with 1.75 points per game
- The head-to-head at Wolfsberger AC's ground in the last 12 months is 1W 1D 0L (2–0, 0–0)
- Wolfsberger AC have lost 3 of their last 5, including two 0–3 defeats, and scored just 4 goals
- WSG Wattens are 4W 2D 4L in their last 10, scoring 2.0 per game and conceding 1.4
- WSG Wattens score 2.6 per game on the road over 20 away games
The bottom line: this is a genuinely open one, and the available prices couldn't be used for a recommendation, so I'm sitting this one out. No Bet.