Worthing vs Solihull Moors Prediction
Worthing vs Solihull Moors: Home Record and Form Point to a Worthing Win
Preview
Look, I'm not one for fancy football talk, but when a team wins 13 of their last 20 home games and scores nearly 2 a game while conceding less than one, you know something's cooking. That's Worthing, and they're cooking up a storm. Four wins and a draw in their last five, 9 goals scored, 4 conceded. At home, they've kept 9 clean sheets in 20 games. That's the sort of record that makes you want to grab a cold one and watch them do their thing.
Solihull Moors, though, are having a bit of a rough patch. Two wins and three losses in their last five, and they've conceded 12 goals in that stretch. Their away record over 20 games is 6 wins, 8 draws, 6 losses — 1.3 points per game — and they've only managed 5 clean sheets in those 20. Line up Worthing's home numbers (1.95 scored, 0.85 conceded per game) against Solihull Moors' away numbers (1.65 scored, 1.6 conceded) and the picture is pretty clear.
No head-to-head on record, so we're going on current form and venue stats, and both of those say Worthing. Their last home game was a 2–1 win over FC Halifax Town — Halifax picked up a red card in the 77th minute, which helped — and before that they beat AFC Hornchurch 1–0 at the same ground. Solihull Moors' last home game was a 0–3 loss to Boreham Wood, and their last away game was a 4–2 win at Woking.
Now, I'll give Solihull Moors credit where it's due. They beat Newcastle United U21 2–1 in the Cup on 6 October, and they've scored in 8 of their last 10. They're not without a goal. But that's a cup game against a U21 side, and their league form is telling a very different story. Three losses in five, 12 conceded. That's not the sort of form that makes you fancy an away win at a team that's won 13 of their last 20 at home.
Key Points:
- Worthing: 4W 1D 0L in last 5; 13W 4D 3L at home in 20 games
- Solihull Moors: 2W 0D 3L in last 5; 6W 8D 6L away in 20 games
- No head-to-head meetings on record
- Worthing home: 1.95 scored/game, 0.85 conceded/game; Solihull Moors away: 1.65 scored, 1.6 conceded
- Solihull Moors conceded 12 in their last 5 games
My pick: Worthing home win.