Wrexham vs Oxford United Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship basement battle between two sides who are both struggling to find their feet in the second tier. Wrexham might be sitting just one place above Oxford in the table, but there's a bit more to this story than just the league positions.

Looking at recent form, Wrexham have been the busier side with a 40% win rate in their last 10 games compared to Oxford's measly 20%. The lads from Wales have been mixing it up too - they've had some decent results like that 1-1 draw away at Leicester and another 1-1 at home against Birmingham. They've also shown they can score goals, netting 16 in their last 10 outings.

Oxford, on the other hand, have been finding wins hard to come by. Their away form is particularly worrying - they've lost 60% of their away games this season. They did manage a decent 3-1 win at Bristol City back in September, but that's been their only away victory in their last five trips. They're also leaking goals at the back, conceding 1.80 per game on average.

When you dig into the numbers, Wrexham are averaging 1.60 goals per game while Oxford are only managing 1.10. Both sides are pretty generous defensively though - Wrexham let in 1.30 per game and Oxford 1.80. This suggests we could see a few goals, but Wrexham's superior attacking form gives them the edge.

The home advantage shouldn't be underestimated either. While Wrexham's home record shows more draws than wins (20% wins, 60% draws), they're still harder to beat on their own patch than Oxford are on the road.

Both teams are coming off four days' rest, so fatigue shouldn't be a factor. It's just a case of who wants it more on the night, and the form book suggests that'll be Wrexham.