WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Prediction

WSPG Wels host Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz on 10 October in the 2. Liga, and the two sides arrive with very different recent trajectories. Wels have dropped three of their last five matches, drawing 3–3 with Austria Salzburg on 2 October and losing 1–3 to First Vienna at home on 18 September. Their home record over 20 games reads 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses, with 1.05 points per game and 1.65 goals conceded per match. One encouraging thread: Wels have found the net in all five of their most recent fixtures, and their home record shows only 5 failed-to-score games in 20.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, by contrast, are in noticeably better shape. Their last 10 games across all venues yield 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at 1.5 points per game, with 1.7 goals scored per match and just 1.3 conceded. Their away record over 20 games is poor — 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses at 0.7 points per game — but the last 12 months of that stretch dilute the picture, and their recent away results include a 0–0 draw at Floridsdorfer AC and a 1–2 loss at SKN ST. Polten. Bregenz have also failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, which is a concern for an away side.

The head-to-head is small but telling. In the two meetings within the last 12 months, Wels won 3–2 at Bregenz's ground on 24 April 2026, and the fixture at Wels's ground on 1 November 2025 ended 1–1. Both games saw both teams score. At Wels's ground specifically, the only recent meeting was that 1–1 draw.

The strongest case for Wels is the venue record: 1.05 points per game at home versus 0.7 for Bregenz away, and a lower goals-conceded figure (1.65 versus 2.0). The strongest case for Bregenz is the current form gap: 1.5 PPG in the last 10 versus 1.1 for Wels, and a far tighter defensive record (1.3 conceded per game versus 2.1). The market prices Bregenz as the favourite at 2.15 (46.51% implied), with the draw at 3.6 and a Wels win at 3.15.

Key Points:

• Wels home record: 5W 6D 9L in 20 games, 1.05 PPG, 1.65 conceded per game

• Bregenz away record: 3W 5D 12L in 20 games, 0.7 PPG, 2.0 conceded per game

• Bregenz in superior recent form: 4W 3D 3L in last 10, 1.5 PPG

• H2H at Wels's ground: 1–1 draw (1 November 2025); Wels won 3–2 away (24 April 2026)

• Wels have scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches; Bregenz failed to score in 2 of 5

No Bet. The evidence points in two directions at once — Wels hold the venue edge, but Bregenz carry the form edge — and no single outcome clears the bar I demand before staking a single cent.