Match preview
Austria2. Liga
Look, I'm sitting here with the braai going and a cold one in hand, and this fixture is making me grin. WSPG Wels are hosting Voitsberg in the 2. Liga on 23 October, and the numbers are telling me one thing: both teams are going to find the net.
Let's start with the most telling evidence. Voitsberg's away record over their last 20 games is 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, scoring 2.7 goals per game and conceding just 1.25. WSPG Wels at home over 20 games sit at 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. That is a serious gap in the away record, and it tells me Voitsberg are used to scoring on the road. Afrikaans, you see โ they just show up and do the job.
Now look at the recent form. In their last five matches, Voitsberg have scored in every single game โ 5 out of 5 โ and both teams have found the net in all five. WSPG Wels have had both teams score in 4 of their last 5. Stretch that to 10 games and it is 9 out of 10 for Voitsberg and 8 out of 10 for WSPG Wels. The both-teams-to-score column is practically screaming at you from every angle.
The venue records back it up too. At WSPG Wels's ground, both teams have scored in 11 of 20 meetings. At Voitsberg's ground, it is 13 of 20. Neither side is keeping it to a shutout or a 0-0. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 11 of 20 at WSPG Wels's ground and 16 of 20 at Voitsberg's, and in the last five games for both sides it has been 4 out of 5.
Now, the counter-argument. Voitsberg have lost their last three โ scored 4, conceded 7 โ and that is a worrying run. WSPG Wels, on the other hand, drew their last game 2-2 at Austria Vienna (Am) on 16 October and won the one before 1-0 at home against Schwarz-Weiร Bregenz. Their last 10 shows 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, which is a touch better than Voitsberg's 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. So there is a case that WSPG Wels are in a slightly better place right now.
But here is the thing: even in those three losses, Voitsberg scored in every game. They went 1-2, 2-3 and 1-2. They are not going blank. And WSPG Wels at home have failed to score in only 5 of 20 games. The head-to-head is dated โ the last two meetings were in 2023 and 2024 in the Regionalliga - Mitte, with Voitsberg winning both โ so I am not reading too much into that. It is historical record, not current form.
The market is pricing both teams to score at 1.5, which implies about 67% chance. My own read, looking at the consistency across venue records, recent form and the last 10 games, puts it closer to 78%. That sits comfortably above what the bookies are giving you.
Key Points:
My pick: both teams to score.