Wycombe vs Lincoln Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this tasty League One clash down at Wycombe. On paper, you might look at the table and think Lincoln sitting pretty in 2nd should have this one wrapped up, but football's not played on paper, is it?

Wycombe have been absolutely brilliant at home lately. I'm talking proper fortress stuff here - unbeaten in their last 6 on their own patch with 4 wins and 2 draws. They've been banging them in for fun too, averaging 2.5 goals per game at home. Just look at their recent home performances: 4-1 against Leyton Orient, 3-0 versus Huddersfield, and a tidy 2-0 win over Plymouth in the FA Cup. That's not just luck, that's proper form.

Lincoln, for all their lofty league position, have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde on their travels. Sure, they've had some decent results like that 3-0 win at Peterborough, but they've also been turned over 3-0 at Rotherham and lost 1-0 at Leyton Orient. Their away record shows 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses - hardly the form of promotion contenders on the road.

The head-to-head record is pretty tight with 3 wins each and 2 draws from 8 meetings, but Wycombe have historically done well at home against Lincoln, winning 2 of their 4 home encounters.

What really catches my eye is the goal stats. Wycombe are averaging 2 goals per game overall and 2.5 at home, while Lincoln are only managing 1.2 per game and just 1.0 on their travels. Both sides are solid defensively though, with Wycombe conceding 0.8 per game and Lincoln 0.7.

The bookies have Wycombe at 1.90 for the home win, and given their current form and home advantage, that looks like proper value to me. Lincoln might be higher up the table, but form, especially home form, often trumps league position in these one-off matches.