Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda Prediction

This Super League clash presents a fascinating contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions. Tianjin Teda sit comfortably in 6th place with 43 points, while Yunnan Yukun languish in 10th with just 32 points. The recent form gap is stark - Tianjin have collected 18 points from their last 10 games (1.80 PPG) compared to Yunnan's mere 10 points (1.00 PPG).

The defining statistic in this matchup is Yunnan Yukun's defensive record. They have conceded an alarming 30 goals in their last 10 matches, averaging 3.0 goals against per game. More tellingly, they have failed to keep a single clean sheet in this period (0% rate). Recent results paint a grim picture: heavy defeats including 1-5 against Chengdu Better City, 0-7 to Beijing Guoan in the FA Cup, and 1-5 versus Qingdao Jonoon. Even their draws have been high-scoring affairs, notably a 4-4 thriller against Shanghai Shenhua.

Tianjin Teda, by contrast, have been defensively solid. They've kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches (50% rate) and concede just 0.8 goals per game. Their recent form includes impressive victories like 4-0 against Wuhan Three Towns and 1-0 wins over both Henan Jianye and Sichuan Jiuniu. However, their away form is concerning - they've failed to win any of their last 4 away matches, managing just 0.75 goals per game on the road.

The head-to-head record is limited to just two matches, with Yunnan Yukun winning 1-0 in their most recent encounter in May 2025. However, given the current form and defensive vulnerabilities, that historical result carries little weight.

Statistical analysis reveals some interesting patterns. Yunnan Yukun have seen both teams score in 90% of their recent matches, while Tianjin Teda games only see both teams score 30% of the time. The goal expectancy models suggest this could be a high-scoring affair, with Yunnan's porous defense likely to be exploited despite Tianjin's away struggles.

Key Points:

• Yunnan Yukun have conceded in ALL of their last 10 matches (100% rate)

• Tianjin Teda have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 games (50% rate)

• Yunnan average 3.0 goals conceded per game, Tianjin just 0.8

• Tianjin Teda are unbeaten in 6 of their last 10 matches

• Yunnan's recent form includes three defeats by 4+ goals

• Tianjin have scored in 7 of their last 10 matches (70% rate)

• The match features a 6th-place team against 10th-place opposition

Given the overwhelming statistical evidence pointing toward goals from both sides, particularly Yunnan's defensive fragility combined with their own attacking output (1.6 goals per game), the both teams to score market presents the most compelling value. Yunnan simply cannot keep clean sheets, while Tianjin have shown they can find the net even in away fixtures.