Zulte Waregem vs Gent Prediction

Gent's Ten-Game Unbeaten Record Meets a Slumping Zulte Waregem

Preview

Gent come into this one at Zulte Waregem's ground with a bit of swagger about them. Seven wins, three draws, and not a single defeat in their last ten games. They've chucked 17 goals into the net and conceded just seven. That's a side in full flow, mate, and the kind of run that makes you feel the ground is going to be a bit of a stroll.

Zulte Waregem, on the other hand, have been having a bit of a nightmare. Three straight losses, and in those three they've managed just one goal while conceding six. The 0-3 at Anderlecht on 19 September and the 0-1 at home to Charleroi on 13 September were ugly business. They did grab a 2-0 at Kortrijk back on 6 September, but that was before the wheels came off, and the 2-2 draw at Westerlo on 30 August was the last time they looked like a team with any real bite.

Now, Zulte Waregem do have a solid home record — 11 wins from 20 home games, scoring 1.9 a game and conceding 1.35. And the last time these two met at this ground, back on 19 October 2025, Zulte Waregem put four past Gent. So there's a history here that the home fans will be pointing to in the pub before kick-off.

But here's the thing: that was eleven months ago, and the Zulte Waregem of that day don't look like the Zulte Waregem of today. Gent's away record is respectable — 9 wins from 20 away games — and their defence on the road has been tight, conceding 1.3 a game. Their xG against in recent games sits at 0.51 per game, which tells you they're not getting rattled out on the road. Zulte Waregem's xG against, by comparison, is 1.01 per game, and they've actually conceded 3 in those four games with xG data. The numbers say Gent's back line is the sturdier one.

The market has Gent at 2.5 to win, which prices them at 40%. Given that they haven't lost in ten and Zulte Waregem have lost three straight, I'd put Gent's chances closer to 52%. That's a nice little edge on the price, and it's the kind of value that makes your heart sing.

Key Points:

  • Gent: 7W 3D 0L in their last 10, scoring 1.7 per game and conceding 0.7
  • Zulte Waregem: lost their last 3, scoring 1 and conceding 6 in those games
  • Zulte Waregem's home record is solid (11W from 20), but current form is poor
  • Recent H2H at this venue: Zulte Waregem won 4-1 on 19 October 2025
  • Gent's away defence: 1.3 conceded per game over 20 away games

I'm going with the Gent away win at 2.5.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.50
+EV
+30.0%
Estimated Chance52%
Stake & Profit
Stake:10.00•Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN