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Match analysis

ChinaSuper League

Changchun Yatai vs Beijing Guoan

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Super League fixture.

Match Timeline

11'
Yupeng He🟨
Yellow Card
12'
Aifeierding Aisikaer🟨
Yellow Card
19'
Serginho⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Liyu Yang
27'
Juan Camilo Salazar🟨
Yellow Card
33'
Liyu Yang⚽
Goal cancelled
40'
Xinli Peng🟨
Yellow Card
45+8'
Liyu Yang
Penalty confirmed
45+11'
Fabio Abreu
Missed Penalty
45+13'
Fabio Abreu
Penalty
46'
Aifeierding AisikaerπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Long Tan
46'
Stoppila SunzuπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Huachen Zhang
46'
Jiang WenhaoπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Yang Bai
46'
Zhongguo ChiπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ GonΓ§alo Rodrigues
64'
Yupeng HeπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Lei Li
64'
SerginhoπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Yuning Zhang
71'
Yuning Zhang⚽
Goal cancelled
73'
Xu HaofengπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Zhijian Xuan
74'
Wylan CyprienπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Liu Guobao
77'
Yuning Zhang⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Fabio Abreu
78'
Ohi OmoijuanfoπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Zhou Junchen
79'
Liyu YangπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Xizhe Zhang
82'
Fabio Abreu⚽
Normal Goal
84'
Michael Ngadeu🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal3
19Total Shots11
7Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox9
7Shots outsidebox2
14Fouls18
9Corner Kicks3
3Offsides2
47Ball Possession53
3Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves7
320Total passes375
257Passes accurate293
80Passes %78

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Bottom Dwellers vs Top Four Flops

The pickChangchun Yatai win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.55
Model EV
+7.1%

Ag man, this is one of those matches where the table tells you one story but the form tells another! Changchun Yatai might be rock bottom of the Super League with just 19 points, but these ouens have actually found some legs at home recently. Unbeaten in their last four at home…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Wisdom in Goals: When Bottom Meets Top

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
1.40
Model EV
+5.0%

Hmmm, much to learn from this encounter, there is. The eyes see a bottom dweller versus a top four contender, but the Force tells a different story. Look beyond the league standings, you must. Changchun Yatai, though last in the table, have found resilience at home. Unbeaten in…

Umery UnderdogLost

Underdogs Yatai Ready to Bite Guoan

The pickChangchun Yatai win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.60
Model EV
+17.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! The league's bottom side Changchun Yatai hosting the high-flying Beijing Guoan - on paper, it looks like a mismatch, but let me tell you why these little puppies have some serious bite! First, let's talk about recent form because…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Changchun Yatai

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Beijing Guoan

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Changchun Yatai at home vs Beijing Guoan away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Super League

Overall edge
+194Beijing Guoan
Venue edge
+98Beijing Guoan
Rating period
Match snapshot
Changchun Yatai versus Beijing Guoan: long term Elo, before the match
Changchun YataiHomeRatingBeijing GuoanAway
Strength
1,468Overall1,662
1,506Match venue1,605
1,506At home1,676
1,423Away1,605
Attack & defence
1,477Attack1,634
1,524Defence1,554
1,505Home attack1,641
1,457Away attack1,569
1,535Home defence1,570
1,480Away defence1,550
Match profile
1,767Goal environment1,943
1,565Home goals1,787
1,702Away goals1,657
1,479Possession1,545
Specialist ratings
1,481Set-piece attack1,534
1,481Set-piece defence1,533
1,472Close games1,604
1,466Winning margin1,672

Match venue compares Changchun Yatai at home with Beijing Guoan away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai1:1

Starting XI

28Zhifeng WangG
17He YiranD
15Xu HaofengM
27Juan Camilo SalazarF
31Stoppila SunzuD
25Wylan CyprienM
10Ohi OmoijuanfoF
2Abduhamit AbdugheniD
35Xinli PengM
40Aifeierding AisikaerF
5Shenyuan LiM

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan1:1

Starting XI

34Sen HouG
35Jiang WenhaoD
6Zhongguo ChiM
17Liyu YangM
29Fabio AbreuF
3Yupeng HeD
7SerginhoM
5Michael NgadeuD
23DawhanM
27Gang WangD
37Yongjing CaoM