Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 22:00
Serie A
Brazil
Brazil
Full Time

Match Timeline

10'
Pedro Henrique🟨
Yellow Card
26'
Raniele🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Angileri
27'
Gustavo Henrique🟨
Yellow Card
29'
José Martínez🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Eduardo Sasha
Penalty
45+1'
Alix Vinicius
Penalty confirmed
56'
Pedro Henrique🔄
Substitution 1 → Gustavo Marques
58'
Fabrizio Angileri🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Gustavo Marques🟨
Yellow Card
60'
José Martínez🟨
Yellow Card
60'
José Martínez🟥
Red Card
62'
Alix Vinicius🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Yuri Alberto
Normal Goal
67'
Matheus Bidu🔄
Substitution 2 → Maycon
68'
Breno Bidon🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Carrillo
70'
André Carrillo🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Fabinho🔄
Substitution 2 → Gustavo Neves
70'
I. Laquintana🔄
Substitution 3 → Davi Gomes
81'
Lucas Barbosa🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Pitta
81'
A. Sant'Anna🔄
Substitution 5 → Vanderlan
87'
M. Depay🔄
Substitution 4 → Charles Rigon
87'
R. Garro🔄
Substitution 5 → Gui Negao
90'
I. Pitta
Normal Goal → Jhon Jhon
90+4'
Isidro Pitta🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Charles🟨
Yellow Card
90+8'
Juninho Capixaba🟨
Yellow Card
90+8'
Charles🟥
Red Card
90+10'
Gabriel Girotto🟨
Yellow Card
90+11'
Eduardo Sasha🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal3
19Total Shots8
8Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox4
19Fouls17
6Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
58Ball Possession42
7Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
394Total passes290
323Passes accurate223
82Passes %77
2.14expected_goals0.43
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1:1

Starting XI

1CleitonG
29Juninho CapixabaD
6Gabriel GirottoM
21Lucas BarbosaM
8Eduardo SashaF
14Pedro HenriqueD
5FabinhoM
10Jhon JhonM
4Alix ViniciusD
33Ignacio LaquintanaM
32Agustin Sant'AnnaD

CorinthiansCorinthians1:1

Starting XI

40Felipe LongoG
14RanieleD
21Matheus BiduM
8Rodrigo GarroF
10Memphis DepayF
13Gustavo HenriqueD
27Breno BidonM
9Yuri AlbertoF
47João Pedro TchocaD
70José MartínezM
2MatheuzinhoM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
Form: L-L-L-L-W
Corinthians
Corinthians
Form: W-W-W-L-W
Record
1 W
3 D
6 L
6 W
1 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
2.1
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:2.5
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1562
Average
1628
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1551
↓ Momentum (-11)
1658
↑ Momentum (+31)
Expected Outcome
28%
Home Win
31%
Draw
41%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1494
Attack
1553
1496
Defence
1599
Recent Form
1480
Attack
1565
1466
Defence
1630
Post-Match Changes
+11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Bragantino's Nightmare Form vs Corinthians' Solid Defense
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+8.6%

Alright boets, let's fire up the braai and break down this clash between two mid-table teams heading in completely different directions! RB Bragantino is in absolute shambles at the moment. Looking at their last 10 games, they've managed just ONE win - that's worse than trying to braai with wet wood! They're getting hammered left and right, conceding 2.1 goals per game while barely managing 0.9 goals up front. Recent results tell the story: hammered 0-3 by Vasco, destroyed 1-5 by Palmeiras, and losing 1-2 to Bahia in their last outing. Their defense is leaking more than a cheap beer bottle! Corinthians, on the other hand, have found their groove. Six wins in their last 10 games with a solid 1.90 points per game average. Their defense has been tighter than a drum - 6 clean sheets in those 10 matches and only conceding 0.7 goals per game. They've kept it tight against decent teams too: 2-0 over Gremio, 1-0 at Vitoria, and a smashing 3-0 over Mirassol. Now, here's the interesting bit - historically, Bragantino has owned this matchup, winning 6 out of 9 meetings. But form over history, my friend! Corinthians are trending up while Bragantino is free-falling faster than a boerewors off the grill! The stats paint a picture of a low-scoring affair. Corinthians don't concede many away from home (1.0 per game), and Bragantino struggles to score at home (only 1.0 per game). With both teams having similar points but opposite momentum, this looks like a cagey midfield battle where defenses will dominate. The goal environment suggests we're not in for a goal fest, and given Corinthians' recent defensive solidity combined with Bragantino's attacking woes, the under looks like the smart money here.

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📝 Match Preview

Bragantino's Defensive Woes Promise Goal Fest
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+3.2%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm rubbing my hands together for this one! When I see a team conceding 2.10 goals per game, my senses start tingling. RB Bragantino have been about as solid as a chocolate teapot lately, shipping goals like there's no tomorrow. Let's look at the evidence: Bragantino's recent form reads like a horror movie for their defense. A 5-1 thrashing by Palmeiras, a 4-1 demolition by Botafogo, and they've managed just one clean sheet in their last ten games. That's not just bad, that's practically an open invitation for goals! At home, they're still leaking 1.50 goals per game, which is music to my ears. Now, Corinthians come to town with their fancy defensive record - just 0.70 goals conceded per game and six clean sheets in ten matches. On paper, that should worry me. But here's the thing: they're facing a team that's been more generous than Santa Claus at Christmas. Even the tightest defenses can look shaky when they're up against a team that's constantly under pressure and making mistakes. The head-to-head history gives me hope too. These two have produced Over 2.5 goals in four of their nine meetings, with recent scores like 2-1 and 1-2 suggesting we're in for some action. Plus, Bragantino have historically dominated this fixture, which might force Corinthians to attack more than usual. Corinthians' away form shows they score just 0.80 goals per game on the road, but against this Bragantino defense? I'm expecting them to improve that average significantly. Meanwhile, Bragantino at home are scoring 1.00 per game, and with their backs against the wall, they'll likely throw everything forward. The market has this at 2.15 for Over 2.5, which I think is generous given Bragantino's defensive collapse. Sometimes you have to look beyond the stats and see the story - and this story is about a team that can't stop conceding facing another that needs to keep winning. That's a recipe for goals, my friends! Key Points: • Bragantino conceding 2.10 goals per game - defensive shambles • Only 1 clean sheet in last 10 matches for the home side • Recent high-scoring games: 5-1, 4-1, 2-2 in Bragantino matches • H2H shows Over 2.5 in 44% of meetings • Corinthians' solid defense faces its toughest test against a leaky opponent • Home advantage might push Bragantino to attack, opening spaces for counter-attacks The Big O says: When you see a team shipping goals like Bragantino have been, you don't ask questions - you take the Over! The odds are too good to ignore given the defensive vulnerabilities on display.

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📝 Match Preview

Bragantino Ready to Bite Against Corinthians
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.30
Expected Value:+3.5%

Oh, what a delightful underdog story we have brewing here! 🐾 The market has completely written off our little puppies RB Bragantino, pricing them at 2.30 despite some fascinating historical advantages that everyone seems to be ignoring. Let me tell you why this is where the hidden value lies! While RB Bragantino's recent form has been shaky (just 1 win in their last 10), their head-to-head record against Corinthians tells a completely different story. These pups have dominated this matchup historically with 6 wins, 1 draw, and only 2 losses overall. At home, they're even more impressive with a 3-0-2 record against Corinthians - that's a 60% home win rate! The last time these teams met, RB Bragantino walked away with a 2-1 victory. Sometimes the market gets too caught up in recent results and forgets about these long-term patterns. Corinthians may be flying high with 6 wins in their last 10, but their away form is much more modest at 40% win rate. Yes, Bragantino have been conceding goals lately (21 in their last 10), but they've also shown they can score against Corinthians historically. With 11 goals scored in 9 H2H meetings, they know how to find the net against this particular opponent. This is exactly the type of situation where underdogs thrive - overlooked, underestimated, and with historical advantages that the market has forgotten. Our puppies have the home advantage, the H2H edge, and the perfect underdog mentality to spring a surprise! Key Points: • RB Bragantino dominates this H2H historically: 6-1-2 overall record • Home advantage strong for Bragantino vs Corinthians: 3-0-2 at home (60% win rate) • Last meeting ended 2-1 in favor of RB Bragantino • Market overreacting to recent form, ignoring historical patterns • Corinthians away form modest (40% win rate) compared to overall form • Perfect underdog scenario with value at 2.30 odds Summary: I'm backing our little puppies RB Bragantino to use their home advantage and historical dominance over Corinthians to secure a surprise victory. The market has completely overlooked their strong H2H record, creating beautiful value for us underdog hunters!

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📝 Match Preview

Form Over History: Corinthians' Defensive Wisdom
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+8.6%

In the grand tapestry of football, the present moment often speaks louder than echoes of the past. RB Bragantino, though historically dominant against Corinthians with 6 wins from 9 meetings, finds themselves in a dark period of form. The Force has abandoned them recently, with but one victory in their last ten encounters (0.60 points per game). Their defense leaks goals like a broken dam - 21 conceded in 10 matches, an average of 2.10 per game. Heavy defeats stain their recent record: 0-3 to Vasco, 1-5 to Palmeiras, and 1-4 to Botafogo reveal a team in turmoil. Corinthians, meanwhile, walk the path of defensive wisdom. Six clean sheets in their last ten games speak of a team that understands the art of prevention. Their recent form shines brightly (1.90 points per game), with victories over Gremio (2-0), Atletico-MG (1-0), and Mirassol (3-0). Though their away attack shows modest returns (0.80 goals per game on the road), their defensive solidity travels well, conceding only 1.00 goal per away game. The goal expectancy whispers of a cautious encounter (Home 1.00, Away 1.15), and the statistical winds favor few goals. Corinthians arrive with momentum and defensive resolve, while RB Bragantino search for answers to their attacking woes and defensive frailties. Sometimes, the wise bettor must look beyond historical dominance and see the truth of the present moment. Key Points: - RB Bragantino's dire form: 1 win in 10 games, conceding 2.10 goals per game - Corinthians' defensive strength: 6 clean sheets in 10 matches, 0.70 goals conceded per game - Historical H2H favors Bragantino (6-2) but current form tells a different story - Corinthians away attack modest (0.80 goals/game) but defense solid (1.00 conceded/game) - Goal expectancy suggests low-scoring affair (combined 2.15 expected goals) The path of wisdom leads us to expect few goals in this encounter. Corinthians' defensive discipline combined with RB Bragantino's scoring struggles creates the perfect conditions for an under game.

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📝 Match Preview

Corinthians to sink struggling Bragantino
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.10
Expected Value:+70.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Brazilian bash-up. On paper, you might look at the head-to-head and think Bragantino have the edge - they've won 6 out of 9 against Corinthians historically, including a 2-1 win last time they met. But form, my friends, is temporary and class is permanent... and right now, Bragantino's form is absolutely shocking. The home side are in a right old mess. One win in their last ten games? That's relegation form, that is. They're leaking goals like a sieve - 21 conceded in 10 matches, including hammerings from Palmeiras (5-1), Botafogo (4-1), and Vasco (3-0). Their only recent win was a scrappy 1-0 against Gremio, and even then they needed a clean sheet to get it done. At home, they're barely scoring and still letting in goals. Corinthians, on the other hand, are ticking along nicely. Six wins in their last ten, and more importantly, they're solid as a rock at the back. Six clean sheets in that run tells you everything you need to know. They're not exactly free-scoring, but they don't need to be when they're keeping teams out. Recent wins against Gremio (2-0), Vitoria (1-0), and Mirassol (3-0) show they know how to get the job done. The odds makers have got this a bit wrong if you ask me. Bragantino at 2.30? Based on what, exactly? Their current form or their historical record against this lot? I'll back current form every time. Corinthians at 3.10 looks like proper value for a team that's defensively sound and facing a side that can't stop conceding. This has got 0-1 or 0-2 written all over it. Bragantino might have the historical edge, but they're in a proper slump and Corinthians are exactly the type of organized, defensive side to punish them.

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