RB Bragantino vs Corinthians Prediction

Corinthians to sink struggling Bragantino

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Brazilian bash-up. On paper, you might look at the head-to-head and think Bragantino have the edge - they've won 6 out of 9 against Corinthians historically, including a 2-1 win last time they met. But form, my friends, is temporary and class is permanent... and right now, Bragantino's form is absolutely shocking.

The home side are in a right old mess. One win in their last ten games? That's relegation form, that is. They're leaking goals like a sieve - 21 conceded in 10 matches, including hammerings from Palmeiras (5-1), Botafogo (4-1), and Vasco (3-0). Their only recent win was a scrappy 1-0 against Gremio, and even then they needed a clean sheet to get it done. At home, they're barely scoring and still letting in goals.

Corinthians, on the other hand, are ticking along nicely. Six wins in their last ten, and more importantly, they're solid as a rock at the back. Six clean sheets in that run tells you everything you need to know. They're not exactly free-scoring, but they don't need to be when they're keeping teams out. Recent wins against Gremio (2-0), Vitoria (1-0), and Mirassol (3-0) show they know how to get the job done.

The odds makers have got this a bit wrong if you ask me. Bragantino at 2.30? Based on what, exactly? Their current form or their historical record against this lot? I'll back current form every time. Corinthians at 3.10 looks like proper value for a team that's defensively sound and facing a side that can't stop conceding.

This has got 0-1 or 0-2 written all over it. Bragantino might have the historical edge, but they're in a proper slump and Corinthians are exactly the type of organized, defensive side to punish them.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
3.10
+EV
+70.5%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN