Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 16:00
Serie A
Italy
Italy
Full Time
1:0
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

10'
Juan Jesus🟨
Yellow Card
32'
G. Simeone⚽
Normal Goal
47'
Franco Israel🟨
Yellow Card
62'
G. SimeoneπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ C. Ngonge
63'
Juan JesusπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ A. Buongiorno
63'
M. OliveraπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ N. Lang
74'
David NeresπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ M. Politano
74'
L. LuccaπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ G. Ambrosino
75'
N. NkounkouπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ C. Biraghi
75'
N. VlasicπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ G. Gineitis
82'
B. GilmourπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ E. Elmas
84'
K. AsllaniπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ A. Ismajli
84'
C. AdamsπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ D. Zapata
90+4'
Noa Lang🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Noa Lang⚽
Goal cancelled

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal13
12Total Shots22
2Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox14
4Shots outsidebox8
12Fouls22
3Corner Kicks11
2Offsides2
31Ball Possession69
1Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves1
281Total passes613
216Passes accurate544
77Passes %89
1.97expected_goals1.83
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

TorinoTorino1:1

Starting XI

81F. IsraelG
25N. NkounkouD
10N. VlasicM
19C. AdamsF
23S. CocoD
32K. AsllaniM
18G. SimeoneF
13G. MaripanD
22C. CasadeiM
61A. TamezeD
16M. PedersenD

NapoliNapoli1:1

Starting XI

32V. Milinkovic-SavicG
17M. OliveraD
6B. GilmourM
37L. SpinazzolaM
27L. LuccaF
5Juan JesusD
11K. De BruyneM
31S. BeukemaD
99F. AnguissaM
22G. Di LorenzoD
7David NeresM

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Torino
Torino
Form: D-L-W-L-W
Napoli
Napoli
Form: W-W-L-W-L
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
β€’
8 W
0 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
2.1
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.6
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.7

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1566
Average
1721
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1580
↑ Momentum (+13)
1796
↑ Momentum (+75)
Expected Outcome
21%
Home Win
27%
Draw
52%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1409
Attack
1592
1588
Defence
1677
Recent Form
1401
Attack
1638
1547
Defence
1687
Post-Match Changes
+18
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Napoli to Continue Dominance in Goal-Fest
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+39.4%
Confidence:75

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this cracking match! Napoli are sitting pretty at the top of Serie A like a lion at the top of the food chain, while Torino are languishing down in 16th - that's a bigger gap than my appetite after a fast! The league table tells the story here - Napoli have racked up 15 points from 6 games with only one loss, while Torino are scraping by with just 5 points. That's like comparing a proper boerewors to a veggie sausage - no contest! But wait, Torino's recent form isn't actually terrible. They've had some moments of brilliance, like that 3-3 thriller against Lazio and a stunning 1-0 away win against AS Roma. Problem is, they're as inconsistent as the weather in Cape Town - one minute they're beating top teams, the next they're getting hammered 5-0 by Inter and 3-0 by Atalanta. Napoli, on the other hand, are absolutely firing! 8 wins from their last 10 games, scoring 2.1 goals per game. They're like me at an all-you-can-eat BBQ - always hungry for more! Their defense is a bit leaky though, only keeping 20% clean sheets, which is interesting for us punters. The head-to-head is completely one-sided - Napoli has won 7 of the 9 meetings. Torino's home record against Napoli is worse than my attempts at gardening - 1 win, 4 losses at home against these guys. Looking at the stats, Napoli dominates possession (55.3% vs 46.9%) and have better shot accuracy. But here's the thing - Torino does score at home (1.20 per game), and Napoli's defense isn't exactly Fort Knox with that low clean sheet percentage. The odds make Napoli clear favorites at 1.75, but I'm looking at the Both Teams to Score market at 2.05. Both teams have been scoring regularly, and given Napoli's attacking prowess and Torino's ability to find the net even against top teams, this looks like value.

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

The Force Awakens in Turin: Napoli's Test
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+14.0%
Confidence:65

In the grand theater of Serie A, a tale of two paths unfolds. Napoli, perched atop the mountain with 15 points from 6 games, marches forward with the confidence of champions. Their recent form speaks volumes - 8 victories in 10 contests, with 21 goals scored and only 12 conceded. Yet even the mightiest can stumble, as shown by their 2-1 defeat to AC Milan and 0-2 loss to Manchester City. Torino, meanwhile, finds themselves in the shadows of 16th place with but 5 points. Their journey has been one of contrasts - a magnificent 1-0 victory over AS Roma away from home shows their potential, yet heavy defeats like 0-3 to Atalanta and 5-0 to Inter reveal their vulnerability. At home, however, they show different colors - a 60% win rate on their own patch, scoring 1.2 goals per game while conceding only 0.8. The head-to-head record tells a story of Napoli's dominance - 7 wins in 9 meetings, with Torino managing but a single victory. In their own stadium against Napoli, Torino's record reads 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses. The last encounter ended 0-2 in Napoli's favor. Yet wisdom teaches us to look deeper. Napoli's away form shows cracks - only a 33.33% win rate on their travels, with 1.67 goals conceded per game. Torino at home has found the net regularly, and their recent 3-3 draw with Lazio demonstrates they can score against quality opposition. The goal expectancy suggests 2.5 goals in this contest, and the patterns point toward both teams finding their way to goal. Napoli's attacking prowess (2.1 goals per game overall) meets Torino's home scoring ability (1.2 per game), while both defenses have shown they can be breached. Remember, young padawan: "The Force flows through all things, but even the strongest must respect the balance." In this match, the balance may well tilt toward goals from both sides.

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Can Torino Bite Back Against League Leaders?
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:5.25
Expected Value:+5.0%
Confidence:65

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Umery here, and I've sniffed out a potential gem in this Serie A clash. While Napoli sits pretty at the top of the table with 15 points, our little puppies Torino are lurking in 16th place, hungry to prove everyone wrong! Now, I know what you're thinking - Napoli has been absolutely dominant, winning 5 of their 6 league games. But let's look closer at the data, my friends! Torino recently pulled off a stunning 1-0 victory at AS Roma (who are second in the table, mind you!), showing they have the bite to challenge the big dogs. They also battled to a 3-3 draw with Lazio, proving they can score against quality opposition. The head-to-head record does worry me a bit - Napoli has won 7 of the 9 meetings between these sides. But here's the interesting part: Torino's home form has been much better lately, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 home games. They've kept clean sheets in 40% of their recent matches too! Napoli, while brilliant, has shown some defensive cracks lately. They've conceded in 7 of their last 10 games, and their away form isn't quite as fearsome as their home record (only 33% win rate away from home). They also just played a Champions League match, so fatigue could be a factor. At odds of 5.25, Torino represents tremendous value here. The market might be underestimating our underdogs based on league position alone, but forget that Torino just proved they can beat top-tier teams on the road. With home advantage and that recent confidence-boosting win over Roma, I'm backing the little guys to bark loudly!

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Napoli Visit Torino: Goals Galore on the Cards?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+6.0%
Confidence:65

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Napoli are sitting pretty at the top of Serie A like they own the place - 15 points from 6 games, proper stuff. Torino, bless 'em, are down in 16th struggling for points. But here's the thing, football ain't played on paper, is it? Napoli have been banging them in lately - 2.1 goals per game over their last 10, and they've been winning 80% of those matches. That's top-drawer form, no doubt about it. They just beat Sporting CP in the Champions League and put three past Pisa in the league. Mind you, they did lose to AC Milan and got done by Manchester City, so they're not invincible. Torino have been a bit up and down, haven't they? They had that mad 3-3 draw with Lazio, got beat by Parma, but then went and won at AS Roma's place 1-0. That's some result that, considering Roma's been flying. At home, they've been decent enough - 60% win rate in their last 5 at their own gaff. When these two have met, it's been one-way traffic mostly. Napoli have won 7 of the 9 meetings, including the last two 2-0 and 1-0. But Torino did get a 1-1 draw back in March 2024, so it's not impossible. Here's where it gets interesting for us punters. Both teams have been finding the net and letting them in. Torino's games have been proper end-to-end stuff lately - that 3-3 with Lazio, 2-1 loss to Parma, 3-0 hammering by Atalanta. Napoli's games have seen goals too - 2-1 wins, 3-2 wins, they're not exactly keeping it tight at the back. The bookies have Napoli at 1.80 to win, which seems about right given their league position, but their away form's been a bit dodgy - only 33% win rate on their travels. Torino at 5.25 seems a bit generous considering they're not half bad at home. For me, the value's in both teams to score. Napoli are scoring for fun, and Torino are shipping goals but also getting on the scoresheet themselves. At 2.00, it looks like a decent punt in what could be a proper open game.

Read Full Preview β†’