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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Inter vs Fiorentina

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time3:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

49'
Mattia Viti🟨
Yellow Card
62'
A. GudmundssonπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Fazzini
62'
S. SohmπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ N. Fagioli
65'
Francesco Pio Esposito🟨
Yellow Card
66'
H. Calhanoglu⚽
Normal Goal β†’ N. Barella
71'
P. Sucic⚽
Normal Goal β†’ L. Martinez
76'
R. MandragoraπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ E. Dzeko
78'
F. EspositoπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ A. Bonny
78'
D. DumfriesπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Carlos Augusto
78'
R. GosensπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ N. Fortini
85'
N. BarellaπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ P. Zielinski
86'
Mattia Viti🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Mattia VitiπŸŸ₯
Red Card
88'
H. Calhanoglu
Penalty
89'
L. MartinezπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Luis Henrique
89'
A. BastoniπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ D. Frattesi

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal3
22Total Shots10
8Blocked Shots5
19Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls16
8Corner Kicks5
0Offsides1
64Ball Possession36
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
564Total passes323
488Passes accurate258
87Passes %80
2.63expected_goals0.72
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Inter to Feast on Struggling Fiorentina

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+30.0%

Listen up boet! This one looks like a braai where one team brought the meat and the other brought the salads - and we all know what I think about salads! Inter is sitting pretty in 4th place with 15 points, while Fiorentina is rock bottom in 18th with just 4 points. That's a…

Mr SimpleWon

Inter to shut out struggling Fiorentina

The pickBTTS No

Chance
60%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+5.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Inter at home against the bottom of the league Fiorentina - on paper it looks like a walk in the park for the Nerazzurri, but let's dig into the numbers and see what story they tell. Inter are sitting pretty in 4th place with 15…

Value VinnyLost

Inter vs Fiorentina: BTTS Value Spotted

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+20.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Inter sits 4th in Serie A with 15 points, boasting a formidable 70% win rate over their last 10 matches. They're averaging 2.3 goals per game and have been particularly lethal at home, scoring 2.5 goals per game on…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Inter

7W 0D 3L2.10 pts/game

Fiorentina

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Inter at home vs Fiorentina away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Serie A

Overall edge
+176Inter
Venue edge
+241Inter
Rating period
Match snapshot
Inter versus Fiorentina: long term Elo, before the match
InterHomeRatingFiorentinaAway
Strength
1,775Overall1,599
1,779Match venue1,538
1,779At home1,651
1,748Away1,538
Attack & defence
1,671Attack1,551
1,658Defence1,583
1,675Home attack1,587
1,646Away attack1,500
1,644Home defence1,578
1,684Away defence1,592
Match profile
2,083Goal environment1,847
1,860Home goals1,690
1,723Away goals1,657
1,514Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,542Set-piece attack1,498
1,541Set-piece defence1,498
1,641Close games1,535
1,811Winning margin1,625

Match venue compares Inter at home with Fiorentina away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

InterInter1:1

Starting XI

1Yann SommerG
95Alessandro BastoniD
32Federico DimarcoM
10Lautaro MartΓ­nezF
31Yann BisseckD
8Petar SučiΔ‡M
94Francesco Pio EspositoF
25Manuel AkanjiD
20Hakan Γ‡alhanoğluM
23NicolΓ² BarellaM
2Denzel DumfriesM

FiorentinaFiorentina1:1

Starting XI

43David De GeaG
26Mattia VitiD
21Robin GosensM
10Albert GuΓ°mundssonF
20Moise KeanF
18Pablo MarΓ­D
27Cher NdourM
15Pietro ComuzzoD
8Rolando MandragoraM
7Simon SohmM
2DodΓ΄M