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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Napoli vs Como

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

8'
M. O. Kempf🔄
Substitution 1 → Diego Carlos
16'
Máximo Perrone🟨
Yellow Card
21'
Frank Anguissa🟨
Yellow Card
37'
B. Gilmour🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Elmas
39'
Ivan Smolčić🟨
Yellow Card
46'
L. Spinazzola🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Gutierrez
67'
Matteo Politano🟨
Yellow Card
71'
I. Smolcic🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Posch
71'
M. Caqueret🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Da Cunha
72'
Eljif Elmas🟨
Yellow Card
72'
David Neres🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Lang
82'
A. Morata🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Douvikas
82'
J. Addai🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Rodriguez
87'
M. Politano🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Lobotka
87'
R. Hojlund🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Lucca

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal6
13Total Shots14
1Blocked Shots6
6Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox9
15Fouls16
4Corner Kicks2
45Ball Possession55
3Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves8
391Total passes481
319Passes accurate413
82Passes %86
0.32expected_goals1.03
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Wisdom of Defense Meets Home Force

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.76
Model EV
+5.6%

In the grand theater of Serie A, a fascinating contest unfolds. Napoli, perched atop the table like a wise master on his throne, welcomes Como, the disciplined student who has learned the art of defensive wisdom. The home force flows strongly through Napoli - perfect in their…

Umery UnderdogLost

Can Como Bite the League Leaders?

The pickComo win

Chance
28%
Odds
4.81
Model EV
+34.7%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's eyes are on the league leaders Napoli, I'm wagging my tail with excitement about the underdog story brewing with Como. Let me tell you why these little puppies might just have what it takes to spoil the party! Looking…

PajimonLost

Napoli's Perfect Home Run vs Como's Defensive Wall

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
53%
Odds
2.04
Model EV
+8.1%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and talk proper football! Napoli's sitting pretty at the top of Serie A with a perfect home record - 100% win rate in their last 4 games at home. They're banging in 2.5 goals per game on their own patch, but here's the thing... they're also…

Value VinnyLost

Napoli vs Como: Where the Real Value Lies

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
57%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+11.2%

Alright, let's fire up the calculator and dissect this Serie A showdown between league leaders Napoli and the surprisingly stubborn Como. The market sees a home win, but my numbers are screaming something different. This isn't about picking a winner; it's about exploiting a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Napoli

6W 0D 4L1.80 pts/game

Como

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

Per game

Napoli at home vs Como away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+127Napoli
Venue edge
+210Napoli
Rating period
Match snapshot
Napoli versus Como: long term Elo, before the match
NapoliHomeRatingComoAway
Strength
1,761Overall1,634
1,735Match venue1,524
1,735At home1,585
1,704Away1,524
Attack & defence
1,592Attack1,543
1,684Defence1,621
1,612Home attack1,556
1,550Away attack1,486
1,640Home defence1,568
1,686Away defence1,573
Match profile
2,183Goal environment1,505
1,982Home goals1,520
1,702Away goals1,485
1,516Possession1,516
Specialist ratings
1,529Set-piece attack1,497
1,528Set-piece defence1,497
1,644Close games1,516
1,797Winning margin1,670

Match venue compares Napoli at home with Como away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NapoliNapoli1:1

Starting XI

32Vanja Milinković-SavićG
37Leonardo SpinazzolaD
8Scott McTominayM
7David NeresF
4Alessandro BuongiornoD
6Billy GilmourM
19Rasmus HøjlundF
13Amir RrahmaniD
99Frank AnguissaM
21Matteo PolitanoF
22Giovanni Di LorenzoD

ComoComo1:1

Starting XI

1Jean ButezG
3Álex ValleD
6Maxence CaqueretM
38Assane DiaoM
7Álvaro MorataF
2Marc-Oliver KempfD
23Máximo PerroneM
10Nico PazM
14Jacobo RamónD
42Jayden AddaiM
28Ivan SmolčićD